Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2761
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2761
15 Oct 2024
 | 15 Oct 2024
Status: this preprint is open for discussion.

Groundwater head responses to droughts across Germany

Pia Ebeling, Andreas Musolff, Rohini Kumar, Andreas Hartmann, and Jan H. Fleckenstein

Abstract. Groundwater is a crucial resource for society and the environment, e.g. for drinking water supply and dry-weather stream flows. The recent severe drought in Europe (2018–2020) has demonstrated that these services could be jeopardized by ongoing global warming and the associated increase in the frequency and duration of hydroclimatic extremes such as droughts. To assess the effects of meteorological variability on groundwater heads throughout Germany, we systematically analyzed the response of groundwater heads at 6,626 wells over a period of 30 years. We characterized and clustered groundwater head responses, quantified response time scales, and linked the identified patterns to spatial controls such as land cover and topography using machine learning. We identified eight distinct clusters of groundwater responses with emerging regional patterns. Meteorological variations explained about 50 % of the groundwater head variations, with response time scales ranging from a few months to several years between clusters. The differences in groundwater head responses between the regions could be attributed to regional meteorological variations, while the differences within the regions depended on local landscape controls. Here, the depth to groundwater best explained the time scale of the observed head response, with shorter response times in shallower groundwater. Two of the clusters showed consistent long-term trends that exceeded meteorological controls and could be attributed to anthropogenic impacts. Our study contributes to a better understanding of the regional controls of groundwater head dynamics and to the classification of groundwater vulnerability to hydroclimatic extremes.

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Pia Ebeling, Andreas Musolff, Rohini Kumar, Andreas Hartmann, and Jan H. Fleckenstein

Status: open (until 10 Dec 2024)

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Pia Ebeling, Andreas Musolff, Rohini Kumar, Andreas Hartmann, and Jan H. Fleckenstein
Pia Ebeling, Andreas Musolff, Rohini Kumar, Andreas Hartmann, and Jan H. Fleckenstein

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Short summary
Groundwater is a crucial resource at risk by droughts. To understand drought effects on groundwater in Germany, we grouped 6626 wells into six regional and two nationwide head patterns. Weather explained half of the head variations with varied response times. Shallow groundwater responds fast and is more vulnerable to short droughts (few months). Dampened deep heads buffer short droughts but suffer from long droughts and recoveries. Two nationwide trend patterns were linked to human water use.