Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-917
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-917
22 May 2023
 | 22 May 2023

Atmospheric bias teleconnections associated with systematic SST errors in the tropical Indian Ocean

Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender

Abstract. State-of-the-art climate models suffer from significant sea surface temperature (SST) biases in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), greatly damaging the climate prediction and projection. In this study, we investigate the multidecadal atmospheric bias teleconnections caused by the TIO SST bias and their impacts on the simulated atmospheric variability. A set of century long simulations forced with idealized SST perturbations, resembling various persistent TIO SST biases in coupled climate models, are conducted with an intermediate complexity atmospheric model. Bias analysis is performed using the normal-mode function decomposition which can differentiate between balanced and unbalanced flow regimes across spatial scales. The results show that the atmospheric circulation biases caused by the TIO SST bias have the Gill-Matsuno-type pattern in the tropics and Rossby wave-train distribution in the extratropics, similar to the steady state response to tropical heating. The teleconnection between the tropical and extratropical biases is set up by the Rossby wave-train emanating from the subtropics. Over 90 % of the bias variance is contained in planetary scales (zonal wavenumber k ≤ 5). These biases have great impacts on the simulated energy and interannual variance (IAV). The zonal-mean-flow energy and the extratropical (balanced) wave-flow energy responses are closely related to bias phase (i.e., the covariance between the bias and reference state). In contrast, the tropical (both unbalanced and balanced) wave-flow energy responses are primarily associated with bias amplitude. The response of the IAV is contingent upon the sign of the SST bias. A positive SST bias reduces the IAV, whereas a negative SST bias increases it, regardless of dynamical regimes. Geographically, strong IAV responses are observed in the tropical Indo-west Pacific region, Australia, south and northeast Asia, the Pacific-North America region and Europe, where the background IAVs are strong.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

05 Oct 2023
Atmospheric bias teleconnections in boreal winter associated with systematic sea surface temperature errors in the tropical Indian Ocean
Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 833–852, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-833-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-833-2023, 2023
Short summary
Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-917', Ronald Kwan Kit Li, 19 Jun 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-917', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Jun 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Yuan-Bing Zhao, 29 Jun 2023
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Yuan-Bing Zhao, 01 Aug 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-917', Ronald Kwan Kit Li, 19 Jun 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-917', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Jun 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Yuan-Bing Zhao, 29 Jun 2023
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Yuan-Bing Zhao, 01 Aug 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Yuan-Bing Zhao on behalf of the Authors (01 Aug 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (10 Aug 2023) by Tim Woollings
AR by Yuan-Bing Zhao on behalf of the Authors (17 Aug 2023)  Manuscript 

Post-review adjustments

AA: Author's adjustment | EA: Editor approval
AA by Yuan-Bing Zhao on behalf of the Authors (20 Sep 2023)   Author's adjustment   Manuscript
EA: Adjustments approved (20 Sep 2023) by Tim Woollings

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

05 Oct 2023
Atmospheric bias teleconnections in boreal winter associated with systematic sea surface temperature errors in the tropical Indian Ocean
Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 833–852, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-833-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-833-2023, 2023
Short summary
Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender
Yuan-Bing Zhao, Nedjeljka Žagar, Frank Lunkeit, and Richard Blender

Viewed

Total article views: 355 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
247 89 19 355 5 3
  • HTML: 247
  • PDF: 89
  • XML: 19
  • Total: 355
  • BibTeX: 5
  • EndNote: 3
Views and downloads (calculated since 22 May 2023)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 22 May 2023)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 358 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 358 with geography defined and 0 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Latest update: 18 Sep 2024
Download

The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Climate models suffer from sea surface temperature (SST) biases, greatly affecting climate prediction. In this study, we show that localized SST bias in the tropical Indian Ocean can cause biases in global circulation, especially at the planetary scales, which impact simulated variability. The spatial variability response can be attributed to bias amplitude or bias phase, depending on regimes and regions, whereas the temporal variability response is contingent upon the sign of the SST bias.