Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2265
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-2265
26 Oct 2023
 | 26 Oct 2023

How heating tracers drive self-lofting long-lived stratospheric anticyclones: simple dynamical models

Kasturi S. Shah and Peter H. Haynes

Abstract. Long-lived `bubbles' of wildfire smoke or volcanic aerosol have recently been observed in the stratosphere, co-located with ozone, carbon monooxide, and water vapour anomalies. These bubbles often survive for several weeks, during which time they ascend through vertical distances of 15 km or more. Meteorological analysis data shows that the smoke or aerosol is contained within strong, persistent anticyclonic vortices. Absorption of solar radiation by the smoke or aerosol is hypothesised to drive the ascent of the bubbles, but the dynamics of how this heating gives rise to a single-sign anticyclonic vorticity anomaly has thus far been unclear. We present a description of heating-driven stratospheric vortices, based on an axisymmetric balanced model. A highly simplified model includes a specified localised heating moving upwards at fixed velocity and produces a steadily translating solution with a single-signed anticyclonic vortex co-located with the heating, with corresponding temperature anomalies forming a vertical dipole, matching observations. A more complex model includes the two-way interaction between a heating tracer, representing smoke or aerosol, and the dynamics. An evolving tracer provides heating which drives a secondary circulation and this in turn transports the tracer. Through this two-way interaction an initial distribution of tracer drives a circulation and forms a self-lofting tracer-filled anticyclonic vortex. Scaling arguments show that upward velocity is proportional to heating magnitude, but the magnitude of peak vorticity is O(f ) (f  is the Coriolis parameter) and independent of the heating magnitude. Estimates of peak vertical velocity and vorticity from observations match our theoretical predictions. We discuss 3D effects such as vortex stripping and dispersion of tracer outside the vortex by the large-scale flow which cannot be captured explicitly by the axisymmetric model. The large O(f ) vorticity of the fully developed anticyclones explains their observed persistence and their effective confinement of tracers. To further investigate the early stages of formation of tracer-filled vortices, we consider an idealised configuration of a homogeneous tracer layer. A linearised calculation reveals that the upper part of the layer is destabilised due to the decrease in tracer  concentrations with height there, which sets up a self-reinforcing effect where upward lofting of tracer results in stronger heating and hence stronger lofting. Small amplitude disturbances form isolated tracer plumes that ascend out of the initial layer, indicative of a self-organisation of the flow. The relevance of these idealised models to formation and persistence of tracer-filled vortices in the real atmosphere is discussed and it is suggested that a key factor in their formation is the time taken to reach the fully-developed stage, which is shorter for strong heating rates.

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Apr 2024
How heating tracers drive self-lofting long-lived stratospheric anticyclones: simple dynamical models
Kasturi Shah and Peter H. Haynes
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 559–585, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-559-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-559-2024, 2024
Short summary
Kasturi S. Shah and Peter H. Haynes

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Kasturi Shah, 27 Oct 2023
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Nov 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Bernard Legras, 13 Dec 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • AC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Kasturi Shah, 27 Oct 2023
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Nov 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2265', Bernard Legras, 13 Dec 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Kasturi Shah on behalf of the Authors (01 Feb 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (10 Feb 2024) by Thomas Birner
RR by Bernard Legras (22 Feb 2024)
ED: Publish as is (26 Feb 2024) by Thomas Birner
AR by Kasturi Shah on behalf of the Authors (05 Mar 2024)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

22 Apr 2024
How heating tracers drive self-lofting long-lived stratospheric anticyclones: simple dynamical models
Kasturi Shah and Peter H. Haynes
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 559–585, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-559-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-559-2024, 2024
Short summary
Kasturi S. Shah and Peter H. Haynes
Kasturi S. Shah and Peter H. Haynes

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Long-lived rising bubbles of wildfire smoke or volcanic aerosol contained within strong vortices have been observed in the stratosphere. Heating through absorption of solar radiation has been hypothesised as driving these structures. We present simple models incorporating two-way interaction between dynamics and smoke/aerosol combined with insight from vortex dynamics to explain aspects of observed behaviours, including ascent rate and vorticity magnitude, and to suggest criteria for formation.