Preprints
https://doi.org/10.31223/X56089
https://doi.org/10.31223/X56089
18 Jul 2023
 | 18 Jul 2023

Single-blind test of nine methane-sensing satellite systems from three continents

Evan Sherwin, Sahar El Abbadi, Philippine Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam Brandt

Abstract. Satellite-based remote sensing enables detection and mitigation of large point sources of climate-warming methane. These satellites will have the greatest impact if stakeholders have a clear-eyed assessment of their capabilities. We performed a single-blind test of nine methane-sensing satellites from three continents and five countries, including both commercial and government satellites. Over two months, we conducted 82 controlled methane releases during satellite overpasses. Six teams analyzed the resulting data, producing 134 estimates of methane emissions. Of these, 80 (58 %) were correctly identified, with 46 true positive detections (34 %) and 34 true negative non-detections (25 %). There were 41 false negatives and 0 false positives, in which teams incorrectly claimed methane was present. All eight satellites that were given a nonzero emission detected methane at least once, including the first single-blind evaluation of the EnMAP, Gaofen 5, and Ziyuan 1 systems. In percent terms, quantification error across all satellites and teams is similar to aircraft-based methane remote sensing systems, with 55 % of mean estimates falling within ±50 % of the metered value. Although teams correctly detected emissions as low as 0.03 metric tons of methane per hour, it is unclear whether detection performance in this test is representative of real-world field performance. Full retrieval fields submitted by all teams suggest that in some cases it may be difficult to distinguish true emissions from background artifacts without a known source location. Cloud interference is significant and appears to vary across teams and satellites. This work confirms the basic efficacy of the tested satellite systems in detecting and quantifying methane, providing additional insight into detection limits and informing experimental design for future satellite-focused controlled methane release testing campaigns.

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

31 Jan 2024
Single-blind test of nine methane-sensing satellite systems from three continents
Evan D. Sherwin, Sahar H. El Abbadi, Philippine M. Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey S. Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam R. Brandt
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 17, 765–782, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-765-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-765-2024, 2024
Short summary
Evan Sherwin, Sahar El Abbadi, Philippine Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam Brandt

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Aug 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Aug 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #3, 17 Sep 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Aug 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Aug 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1541', Anonymous Referee #3, 17 Sep 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Evan D. Sherwin, 21 Oct 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Evan D. Sherwin on behalf of the Authors (23 Oct 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (25 Oct 2023) by Huilin Chen
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (29 Oct 2023)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Nov 2023)
ED: Publish as is (05 Nov 2023) by Huilin Chen
AR by Evan D. Sherwin on behalf of the Authors (30 Nov 2023)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

31 Jan 2024
Single-blind test of nine methane-sensing satellite systems from three continents
Evan D. Sherwin, Sahar H. El Abbadi, Philippine M. Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey S. Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam R. Brandt
Atmos. Meas. Tech., 17, 765–782, https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-765-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/amt-17-765-2024, 2024
Short summary
Evan Sherwin, Sahar El Abbadi, Philippine Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam Brandt
Evan Sherwin, Sahar El Abbadi, Philippine Burdeau, Zhan Zhang, Zhenlin Chen, Jeffrey Rutherford, Yuanlei Chen, and Adam Brandt

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Latest update: 30 Aug 2024
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Short summary
Satellites measurements of climate-warming methane emissions at oil and natural gas facilities could facilitate major international methane reduction efforts, but doing so requires trust from many international stakeholders. To test nine methane-sensing satellite systems, we released undisclosed quantities of methane, which multiple teams successfully detected and quantified. We show that Europe, Asia, and North America all host reliable methane-sensing satellites.