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Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-287
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-287
17 Jun 2022
 | 17 Jun 2022

Past and future climate analysis at regional scale: the case study of the Campania Region, Italy

Giuseppe Giugliano, Veronica Villani, Giuliana Barbato, Pasquale Schiano, Antonio D'Ambrosio, Piero Cau, Giuseppe Onorati, and Paola Mercogliano

Abstract. The present paper reports a detailed analysis of the observed and expected climate conditions over the Campania Region, located in the South of Italy. Campania, as part of the Mediterranean area, is already testing relevant impacts related to climate change; evaluation is expected to support local stakeholders in the risk assessment for different relevant sectors but also support the adaptation process. Due to the above mentioned goal the analysis of climate condition is carried out through the evaluation of ETCCDI climate indicators largely used to characterize the frequency and intensity of extreme climate. Analysis is performed both starting from the observed data, provided by various in situ meteo-climatic monitoring networks of the Campania Region managed by local Civil Protection, and using a high resolution regional climate models. Particularly, a systematization of historical data was first carried out by performing the data completeness test and later the climate quality check and homogenization test of the complete time series, which ensure a correct evaluation of climate indicators over the region. Furthermore, for the calculated climate indicators, the variations expected on the territory for 4 future periods and under 2 different IPCC climate scenarios were evaluated, starting both from the data of the COSMO CLM regional model, and from the ensemble mean of the EURO-CORDEX models.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this preprint. The responsibility to include appropriate place names lies with the authors.
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The present paper reports a detailed analysis of the observed and expected climate conditions...
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