Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-9
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-9
20 Jan 2026
 | 20 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Blowing snow contributions to the Arctic snow-on-sea ice budget using ICESat-2 observations

Joseph Robinson, Lyatt Jaeglé, Stephen P. Palm, and Glen E. Liston

Abstract. Blowing snow modulates the evolution of snow over Arctic sea ice through redistribution and sublimation. Here, we present the first multi-year pan-Arctic observational estimates of blowing snow occurrence, properties, and associated fluxes based on NASA Ice, Cloud and land Elevation Satellite 2 (ICESat-2) satellite observations for five cold seasons (November through April 2018–2023). On average, ICESat-2 detects blowing snow 19 % of the time over sea ice, with localized frequencies reaching up to 35 % in the Central Arctic, where blowing snow heights (optical depths) reach 150 m (0.20). We find that blowing snow occurrence shows strong interannual variability related to large-scale climate variability, particularly the Arctic Oscillation (AO). During positive AO phases, blowing snow occurrence increases substantially, with up to a two-fold increase in the Central Arctic. Blowing snow occurrence, height, and optical depth all exhibit a strong dependence on wind speed, increasing by more than five-fold between 4 and 15 m s-1. ICESat-2 blowing snow sublimation estimates average 1.63 cm snow-water-equivalent (SWE) per cold season, thus removing 14 % of pan-Arctic snowfall. In the Central Arctic, the offset is 18–24 %. These values are consistent with simulations from the high-resolution SnowModel-LG (1.66 cm SWE) and a simpler, threshold-based model (2.07 cm SWE). Interannual variability in snowfall and sublimation can be 1–2 cm SWE, though not always in phase, resulting in snowfall removals that range from 9 % to 20 %. Critically, these findings provide satellite-based constraints on blowing snow processes over sea ice and underscore the importance of blowing snow sublimation in the Arctic snow budget.

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Joseph Robinson, Lyatt Jaeglé, Stephen P. Palm, and Glen E. Liston

Status: open (until 03 Mar 2026)

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Joseph Robinson, Lyatt Jaeglé, Stephen P. Palm, and Glen E. Liston

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Blowing snow contributions to the Arctic snow-on-sea ice budget using ICESat-2 observations Joseph Robinson https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18119606

Joseph Robinson, Lyatt Jaeglé, Stephen P. Palm, and Glen E. Liston

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Short summary
Satellite retrievals of blowing snow reveal an occurrence frequency of 19 % over Arctic sea ice, with some regions experiencing frequencies of 35 %. The variability in blowing snow occurrence is linked to the Arctic Oscillation, a climate pattern which controls storm location and strength. The amount of sublimation inferred from observations and predicted by two models suggests blowing snow removes 14–16 % of total Arctic snowfall, highlighting the key role of blowing snow in Arctic climate.
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