Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-89
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-89
10 Mar 2026
 | 10 Mar 2026

Observation operator and detection limits for MODIS and VIIRS Fire Radiative Power products

Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov

Abstract. We analyze the MODIS and VIIRS active-fire Fire Radiative Power (FRP) products and suggest an approximation for the FRP detection limit as a linear function of a pixel area and develop analytical observation operators for both pixel-level and gridded FRP products. We have shown that the collection-6.1 of MODIS has the FRP detection limit at 3.7 MW in case of a nadir retrieval at a clear-sky night. For a daytime sideview, it reaches as high as 40 MW. For VIIRS, the smallest fire reliably detected at night is 0.5 MW. Application of the developed operators for the cross-mapping the MODIS and VIIRS datasets at the pixel/granule level confirmed their consistency. Applying the grid-level operators alongside satellite overpass and weather data, we generated global maps of fire detection probabilities, revealing regional variations. As a global average, probability of detection of powerful fires is 78 % for MODIS (88 % for VIIRS). Variations between regions are large: in some equatorial areas this probability is less than 30 % for MODIS (40% for VIIRS).

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Oct 2026
Observation operator and detection limits for MODIS and VIIRS Fire Radiative Power products
Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 10123–10142, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10123-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10123-2026, 2026
Short summary
Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-89', Anonymous Referee #1, 15 May 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Sofiev, 17 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-89', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Jul 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mikhail Sofiev, 24 Aug 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Sofiev, 17 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Mikhail Sofiev on behalf of the Authors (09 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Sep 2026) by Makoto Saito
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (17 Sep 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (29 Sep 2026) by Makoto Saito
AR by Mikhail Sofiev on behalf of the Authors (29 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-89', Anonymous Referee #1, 15 May 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Sofiev, 17 May 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-89', Anonymous Referee #2, 26 Jul 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mikhail Sofiev, 24 Aug 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mikhail Sofiev, 17 May 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Mikhail Sofiev on behalf of the Authors (09 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (13 Sep 2026) by Makoto Saito
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (17 Sep 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (29 Sep 2026) by Makoto Saito
AR by Mikhail Sofiev on behalf of the Authors (29 Sep 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

26 Oct 2026
Observation operator and detection limits for MODIS and VIIRS Fire Radiative Power products
Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 10123–10142, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10123-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-10123-2026, 2026
Short summary
Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov
Mikhail Sofiev and Rostislav Kouznetsov

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Latest update: 29 Oct 2026
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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Satellites can observe fires globally, but sensitivity of instruments in space is limited: they miss small fires and cannot see through clouds. We analyzed the MODIS and VIIRS fire observations and obtained their sensitivity to small fires, which depends on the resolution of the instrument, timing of the observation (day or night), and details of the data processing. We developed a procedure for comparing fire model predictions with satellite observations accounting for their limited sensitivity
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