Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-763
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-763
23 Feb 2026
 | 23 Feb 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

On describing particle nucleation within the Volatility Basis Set

Neil M. Donahue, Lubna Dada, Dominik Stolzenburg, Eva Sommer, Mario Simon, Meredith Schervish, Jenna DeVivo, Alexandra Stinchfield, Natalie Burton, Nirvan Bhattacharyya, Brandon Lopez, Mingyi Wang, Wiebke Scholz, Joao Almeida, Bin Zhao, Martin Heinritzi, Hamish Gordon, Armin Hansel, Joachim Curtius, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Imad El Haddad, Jasper Kirkby, Richard Flagan, Markku Kulmala, and Douglas Worsnop

Abstract. We describe atmospheric particle nucleation within the Volatility Basis Set (VBS) by identifying nucleating vapors (“nucleators”) with sufficiently high saturation ratios to drive nucleation under either neutral (termed nLVOC) or ion induced (cLVOC) conditions. These vapors are a subset of Ultra Low Volatility Organic Compounds (ULVOCs, with a saturation mass concentration below 3×10–9 µg m–3), which mainly arise from the oxidation of monoterpenes and other volatile hydrocarbons in the atmosphere. We determine the effective nucleator concentrations via nucleation efficiencies based on critical saturation ratios for neutral and charged processes. We apply these efficiencies to the overall volatility (concentration) distribution. The nucleator concentrations thus depend on the overall yield and volatility distribution of ULVOC species, as well as ambient temperature. Using organic vapor volatility distributions for α-pinene ozonolysis measured in the CERN CLOUD chamber, we can reproduce the experimental neutral and ion-induced nucleation rates between 223 K and 298 K, over a wide range of ULVOC concentrations and nucleation rates, spanning typical atmospheric values. For this system of oxygenated organic molecules from α-pinene, two competing effects prevail. As temperature drops from 298 K, the slowing rate of autoxidation lowers the ULVOC yield and so initially reduces the nucleation rates. However, at about 263 K, the colder temperatures reduce the volatilities sufficiently for nucleation rates to reverse course and start to increase with further decrease in temperature. This effect is most pronounced for neutral nucleation. The CLOUD measurements show this behavior and are faithfully reproduced in the VBS nucleation model.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Neil M. Donahue, Lubna Dada, Dominik Stolzenburg, Eva Sommer, Mario Simon, Meredith Schervish, Jenna DeVivo, Alexandra Stinchfield, Natalie Burton, Nirvan Bhattacharyya, Brandon Lopez, Mingyi Wang, Wiebke Scholz, Joao Almeida, Bin Zhao, Martin Heinritzi, Hamish Gordon, Armin Hansel, Joachim Curtius, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Imad El Haddad, Jasper Kirkby, Richard Flagan, Markku Kulmala, and Douglas Worsnop

Status: open (until 06 Apr 2026)

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Neil M. Donahue, Lubna Dada, Dominik Stolzenburg, Eva Sommer, Mario Simon, Meredith Schervish, Jenna DeVivo, Alexandra Stinchfield, Natalie Burton, Nirvan Bhattacharyya, Brandon Lopez, Mingyi Wang, Wiebke Scholz, Joao Almeida, Bin Zhao, Martin Heinritzi, Hamish Gordon, Armin Hansel, Joachim Curtius, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Imad El Haddad, Jasper Kirkby, Richard Flagan, Markku Kulmala, and Douglas Worsnop
Neil M. Donahue, Lubna Dada, Dominik Stolzenburg, Eva Sommer, Mario Simon, Meredith Schervish, Jenna DeVivo, Alexandra Stinchfield, Natalie Burton, Nirvan Bhattacharyya, Brandon Lopez, Mingyi Wang, Wiebke Scholz, Joao Almeida, Bin Zhao, Martin Heinritzi, Hamish Gordon, Armin Hansel, Joachim Curtius, Katrianne Lehtipalo, Imad El Haddad, Jasper Kirkby, Richard Flagan, Markku Kulmala, and Douglas Worsnop
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Latest update: 23 Feb 2026
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Short summary
A new theory has the potential to accurately describe changes to atmospheric particle formation from the pre-industrial to the present and onwards along socioeconomic pathways addressing air pollution and climate. The model places organic nucleation in the context of the Volatility Basis Set and reveals a competition between chemistry, which accelerates as temperature rises, and vapor pressure, which drops as temperature decreases. The model reproduces observations from the CERN CLOUD chamber.
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