Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-694
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-694
23 Mar 2026
 | 23 Mar 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Brief communication: Extreme rainfall–driven flooding associated with the equatorial development of Tropical Cyclone Senyar in Aceh, Indonesia

Saumi Syahreza, Muhammad Syukri, Harisa Bilhaqqi Qalbi, Ahmad Farhan, and Eko Cahyo

Abstract. In late November 2025, extreme rainfall associated with the rare equatorial regeneration of Tropical Cyclone (TCs) Senyar triggered severe flooding across northern Sumatra, with Aceh Province experiencing the most severe impacts. Using satellite-based rainfall estimates from GPM IMERG, ERA5 reanalysis, and surface observations from BMKG, this brief communication provides a rapid hydrometeorological assessment of the event. Daily rainfall locally exceeded 400 mm on 25–26 November, concentrated over northern and eastern Aceh. Synoptic analysis indicates that, despite limited surface pressure deepening near the equator, persistent low-level moisture convergence and strong integrated vapor transport from the Malacca Strait, enhanced by orographic lifting along the Barisan Mountains, produced extreme rainfall and widespread flooding.

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Saumi Syahreza, Muhammad Syukri, Harisa Bilhaqqi Qalbi, Ahmad Farhan, and Eko Cahyo

Status: open (until 04 May 2026)

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Saumi Syahreza, Muhammad Syukri, Harisa Bilhaqqi Qalbi, Ahmad Farhan, and Eko Cahyo
Saumi Syahreza, Muhammad Syukri, Harisa Bilhaqqi Qalbi, Ahmad Farhan, and Eko Cahyo
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Latest update: 23 Mar 2026
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Short summary
Severe flooding struck Aceh, Indonesia, in late Nov 2025 during an unusual tropical storm event near the Equator. Despite the storm's weak intensity, persistent widespread heavy rainfall caused deadly floods. This study, combining ground observations, satellite data, atmospheric analysis, and flood mapping, shows that extreme rainfall alone can trigger major disasters in equatorial regions, highlighting the need for rainfall-focused early warning systems over reliance on wind strength.
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