Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6433
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6433
23 Oct 2026
 | 23 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscience Communication (GC).

Framing and accuracy of AMOC reporting in Dutch journalistic media: comparing scientific research papers and news articles

Yente M. J. te Koppele and Erik van Sebille

Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Current (AMOC) may be approaching a tipping point, with potentially significant environmental and societal consequences. Here, we examine the framing and accuracy of Dutch news articles reporting on the AMOC slowdown or potential collapse using peer-reviewed scientific research papers. In total, we analysed 17 scientific papers and 73 news articles published between 1999 and 2025 using qualitative coding, and eight scientists were interviewed to assess their opinion on the representation of their research in these news articles. Our analysis reveals that Dutch news articles often omit methodological detail and scientific uncertainties, while emphasizing the timing of an AMOC collapse. Dutch news articles simplify terminology, use types of exaggeration, and localize information to engage a broader public. Although most interviewed scientists consider the media coverage of their research adequate, they identify areas for improvement and propose solutions. Overall, Dutch journalistic media often accurately convey the core concepts of AMOC-related scientific research papers, but place strong emphasis on societal consequences and opportunities of an AMOC collapse.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Geoscience Communication.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Yente M. J. te Koppele and Erik van Sebille

Status: open (until 18 Dec 2026)

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Yente M. J. te Koppele and Erik van Sebille
Yente M. J. te Koppele and Erik van Sebille
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Short summary
Media extensively cover the environmental and societal consequences of a possible collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Current (AMOC). But are the media reports accurate, and do they adopt the framing of the original scientific articles? We find that, while Dutch news articles often omit scientific uncertainties and emphasize the timing and consequences of an AMOC collapse, they accurately convey the core concepts of AMOC-related scientific research papers.
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