Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6305
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6305
16 Oct 2026
 | 16 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Brief communication: Large changes in visible crevasse extent on Svalbard glaciers from 2017 to 2025, mapped with satellite embeddings

Erik Schytt Mannerfelt and Thomas Schellenberger

Abstract. Crevasses affect glacier dynamics, mass balance and travel safety, yet are rarely mapped across regions. We map visible crevasses on all Svalbard glaciers each year from 2017 to 2025 using AlphaEarth Foundations embeddings and a random forest ensemble, reaching 93±2 % accuracy on a withheld year. Of 817 glaciers with a significant trend, 616 lost visible crevasses, yet the regional total grew by 228 (181–281) km2 a−1. Surges cause the largest per-glacier changes, but glaciers without a recorded surge contribute comparably. Their decreases occur at low elevations, while increases concentrate in upper reaches where exposure by a rising snow line is a plausible explanation.

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Erik Schytt Mannerfelt and Thomas Schellenberger

Status: open (until 27 Nov 2026)

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Erik Schytt Mannerfelt and Thomas Schellenberger
Erik Schytt Mannerfelt and Thomas Schellenberger
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Latest update: 16 Oct 2026
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Short summary
Crevasses are deep cracks in glacier ice that route water to the glacier bed and endanger travel, yet are rarely mapped regionally. We trained a machine-learning model on satellite data to map visible crevasses on all Svalbard glaciers each year from 2017 to 2025. Three in four glaciers with a clear trend lost crevasses in their lower parts, yet the total area grew, likely as thinning snow cover exposed crevasses higher up. Yearly maps can help detect glacier surges and plan safe travel routes.
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