Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6034
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-6034
12 Oct 2026
 | 12 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).

Drivers of multi-year δ13C-CO2 source signature variability in the Amazon rainforest

Sanam N. Vardag, Kilian Ticks, Santiago Botía, Gerrit Eisele, Philip Papastefanou, Cleo Quaresma, Hella van Asperen, Carla Souza, Flavio A. F. D'Oliveira, Susan Trumbore, Sönke Zaehle, and Sam P. Jones

Abstract. The carbon isotopic composition of ecosystem CO2 exchange provides information on the physiological and environmental controls of land–atmosphere carbon fluxes. Here, we use continuous CO2 and δ13C–CO2 measurements from five inlet heights at the Amazon Tall Tower Observatory (ATTO) in central Amazonia to derive apparent δ13Cs source signatures from vertical-profile Keeling-plot relationships without prescribing an external background. The resulting continuous 2.5-year record from 2022 to 2024 substantially extends previous campaign-based and irregular measurements and provides a unique observational basis for resolving source signature variability in the Amazonia rainforest over time. The observations show pronounced variability on diurnal and seasonal time scales. The diurnal cycle is characterized by more enriched source signatures during the day (-28.5 to -27.5 ‰) and more depleted values during the night (-29.5 to -28.5 ‰). In contrast, the seasonal cycle showed less variability, with an amplitude of approximately 1.5‰. We compare the observed temporal variability of the inferred source signatures with source signatures simulated by the process-based model QUINCY. The observed diurnal cycle is broadly consistent with the sign and timing of the QUINCY response. Although QUINCY is systematically more depleted than the observations, the comparable diurnal amplitude suggests that the model captures the short-term functional response. On seasonal time scales, however, QUINCY simulates substantially stronger variability and much tighter relationships with environmental drivers than observed. These results indicate that the current model representation of isotope discrimination and environmental responses cannot fully explain the observed seasonal behaviour. The weaker observed seasonal response to environmental drivers suggests that Amazonian carbon–water–isotope coupling may be more buffered than represented in QUINCY, for example through canopy microclimate or deep-water access. Overall, the continuous multi-year ATTO record provides a valuable data set for evaluating Amazonian vegetation dynamics and identifies key areas in which process-model representations of isotope discrimination and water-stress responses require improvement.

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Sanam N. Vardag, Kilian Ticks, Santiago Botía, Gerrit Eisele, Philip Papastefanou, Cleo Quaresma, Hella van Asperen, Carla Souza, Flavio A. F. D'Oliveira, Susan Trumbore, Sönke Zaehle, and Sam P. Jones

Status: open (until 23 Nov 2026)

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Sanam N. Vardag, Kilian Ticks, Santiago Botía, Gerrit Eisele, Philip Papastefanou, Cleo Quaresma, Hella van Asperen, Carla Souza, Flavio A. F. D'Oliveira, Susan Trumbore, Sönke Zaehle, and Sam P. Jones
Sanam N. Vardag, Kilian Ticks, Santiago Botía, Gerrit Eisele, Philip Papastefanou, Cleo Quaresma, Hella van Asperen, Carla Souza, Flavio A. F. D'Oliveira, Susan Trumbore, Sönke Zaehle, and Sam P. Jones
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Short summary
This study introduces a 2.5-year data set of CO2 and its stable carbon isotope 13C measured at the Amazon rainforest and analyses what these observations can reveal about how the forest responds to its environment. We find clear day–night changes but much weaker seasonal changes than predicted by a vegetation model, suggesting that the real forest is better buffered against seasonal water stress than the model represents.
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