Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5725
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5725
03 Nov 2026
 | 03 Nov 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Nuclear contamination limits 14CH4 but not 14CO2 source attribution in a five-year Swiss atmospheric monitoring network

Dylan Geissbühler, Thomas Laemmel, Stephan Henne, Dominik Brunner, Negar Haghipour, Philip Gautschi, Markus Leuenberger, Christophe Espic, Matthias Bantle, Heather Graven, Lukas Wacker, and Sönke Szidat

Abstract. Radiocarbon (¹⁴C) measurements of atmospheric CO₂ and CH₄ enable distinction between fossil and modern biogenic sources, providing critical constraints for emission inventories and mitigation efforts. We present multi-year, multi-site atmospheric ¹⁴CO₂ and ¹⁴CH₄ data from a monitoring network in Switzerland (2019–2023), combining fortnightly sampling at five boundary layer sites (4 rural and 1 urban) on the Swiss Plateau and the alpine background station Jungfraujoch with FLEXPART-COSMO atmospheric transport simulations based on Swiss and European emission inventories. Fossil CO2 estimates showed expected spatial patterns, with highest values at the urban site and reasonable agreement with inventory-based simulations. Nuclear Δ(14C, CO2) contamination was negligible (+0.2 ± 0.4 ‰) and recent observations of Swiss ecosystem respiration Δ(14C, CO2) signature indicated that the respiration correction was also quite small. In contrast, ¹⁴CH₄ measurements revealed pervasive nuclear contamination that severely compromised fossil CH₄ source apportionment. Sporadic nuclear ¹⁴CH₄ releases could not be adequately resolved with monthly/quarterly emission data from nuclear power plant operators, leading to large model-observation mismatches and physically implausible fossil CH₄ estimates. This demonstrates a fundamental limitation of ¹⁴CH₄ for quantitative source attribution in nuclear-influenced regions. The contrasting success of ¹⁴CO₂ versus ¹⁴CH₄ underscores the need for tracer-specific strategies and highlights challenges posed by expanding nuclear infrastructure globally.

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Dylan Geissbühler, Thomas Laemmel, Stephan Henne, Dominik Brunner, Negar Haghipour, Philip Gautschi, Markus Leuenberger, Christophe Espic, Matthias Bantle, Heather Graven, Lukas Wacker, and Sönke Szidat

Status: open (until 15 Dec 2026)

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Dylan Geissbühler, Thomas Laemmel, Stephan Henne, Dominik Brunner, Negar Haghipour, Philip Gautschi, Markus Leuenberger, Christophe Espic, Matthias Bantle, Heather Graven, Lukas Wacker, and Sönke Szidat
Dylan Geissbühler, Thomas Laemmel, Stephan Henne, Dominik Brunner, Negar Haghipour, Philip Gautschi, Markus Leuenberger, Christophe Espic, Matthias Bantle, Heather Graven, Lukas Wacker, and Sönke Szidat
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Latest update: 03 Nov 2026
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Short summary
Combining five years of radiocarbon measurements at six Swiss sites with atmospheric transport modelling, we assess fossil carbon dioxide and methane source attribution to verify emission inventories. Radiocarbon-derived fossil carbon dioxide agrees well with reported inventories. For methane, however, sporadic radiocarbon releases from nearby nuclear reactors overwhelm the fossil signal, which current inventories cannot resolve, undermining source apportionment.
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