Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5718
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5718
15 Oct 2026
 | 15 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Importance of emissions-driven simulation of methane for representation of key atmospheric oxidants

Xuewei Hou, Ryan Hossaini, Oliver Wild, James Lee, and Ye Wang

Abstract. Methane (CH4) is a major greenhouse gas influencing both climate and atmospheric chemistry through its interactions with hydroxyl radicals (OH) and ozone (O3). Using the FRSGC/UCI chemical transport model, we compare a new emission-driven simulation with configurations where CH4 mixing ratios are prescribed at the surface or throughout the troposphere. The emission-driven simulation better reproduces the observed spatiotemporal characteristics of CH4 and captures stronger positive trends over major source regions. With a global CH4 source of 602 Tg∙yr-1 we find sinks of 515 Tg∙yr-1 from tropospheric chemical loss and ~36 Tg∙yr-1 each from soil uptake and stratospheric loss. The impact of CH4 treatment on global oxidants is modest, with tropospheric O3 and OH burdens 0.6 % and 0.05 % higher in the emission-driven simulation, respectively. The simulated CH4–OH feedback is insensitive to the choice of CH4 configuration, with conventional feedback factors ranging from 1.403 to 1.409 across the three configurations. However, there is a pronounced influence on the longer-term response to emission perturbations. A 20 % reduction in surface NO emissions produces immediate decreases in O3 and OH, but the emission-driven simulation additionally captures the persistent response in CH4 burden, which peaks at 21.5 Tg in the following year and decays with a perturbation lifetime of 12.5 years. The elevated CH4 enhances O3, partially offsetting its initial decrease. These results demonstrate that an emission-driven treatment provides a more complete framework for quantifying long-term CH4–OH–O3 responses to emission changes and assessing their impacts on atmospheric chemistry and climate.

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Xuewei Hou, Ryan Hossaini, Oliver Wild, James Lee, and Ye Wang

Status: open (until 10 Dec 2026)

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Xuewei Hou, Ryan Hossaini, Oliver Wild, James Lee, and Ye Wang
Xuewei Hou, Ryan Hossaini, Oliver Wild, James Lee, and Ye Wang
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Short summary
Methane affects both climate and atmospheric chemistry. We compared different ways of representing methane in a global model and found that simulating methane from its emissions better reproduces observed patterns and regional trends. More importantly, it captures the long-term response of methane and atmospheric oxidants to emission changes, which cannot be fully represented when methane concentrations are prescribed.
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