Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5697
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5697
15 Oct 2026
 | 15 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).

A global description of the three-dimensional structure of temperature anomalies during heat extremes

Hiu-Wang Lau, Belinda Hotz, Heini Wernli, and Robin Noyelle

Abstract. Studying the spatial extent of heat extremes is essential to understand their impacts and physical mechanisms. Although some studies have examined the structure and extent of heat extremes at the surface, few have quantified their horizontal and vertical spatial extent and analyzed their variations with characteristics of heatwaves such as intensity and location. Here, we propose a global and systematic description of the three-dimensional structure of temperature anomalies during surface heat extremes using ERA5 reanalysis data. This is achieved by performing a percentile-based contour-stacking algorithm on the daily mean temperature anomaly field to obtain a representation of the three-dimensional structure of temperature anomalies in the troposphere. We characterize this structure in terms of area, intensity and geometry. We find that near-surface heat extremes have a relatively uniform average area globally, corresponding to the area covered by a circle with a radius of 800 km, although with important geographical variations. The intensity and area of temperature anomalies decrease with height, but much faster in the tropics than in the extratropics. The shape of temperature anomalies at all levels is not circular and is better described by an ellipse with an axis ratio of 0.5–0.6. These ellipses have a systematic preferential orientation that depends mostly on latitude and topography. Tropical temperature anomalies are zonally oriented, but the orientation leans poleward towards higher latitudes, following the direction of anticyclonic wave breaking. Although there is a robust positive correlation between the intensity and the spatial extent of heat extremes in the mid-troposphere, this relationship is more complex and weaker at the surface. We finally advocate against the image of a "heat dome" to describe the vertical structure of temperature anomalies associated to surface heat extremes.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Weather and Climate Dynamics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Hiu-Wang Lau, Belinda Hotz, Heini Wernli, and Robin Noyelle

Status: open (until 26 Nov 2026)

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Hiu-Wang Lau, Belinda Hotz, Heini Wernli, and Robin Noyelle
Hiu-Wang Lau, Belinda Hotz, Heini Wernli, and Robin Noyelle
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Short summary
Studying the spatial and vertical extent of heat extremes is essential to understand their impacts and physical mechanisms. Here we investigate the 3D vertical structures of heatwaves and describe their geometry. We find that they extend vertically but are larger and more intense close to the ground and that their general shape is an ellipse oriented towards the pole. We argue that the simplified image of a “heat dome” is not adapted to describe the vertical structure of heatwaves.
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