Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5407
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5407
20 Oct 2026
 | 20 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Intermittent sea ice transport from the Transpolar Drift shapes thickness variability in the northwestern Barents Sea

Øyvind Foss, Evgenii Salganik, Jack C. Landy, Samuel Brenner, Arild Sundfjord, Hiroshi Sumata, Sebastian Gerland, and Mats A. Granskog

Abstract. Sea ice thickness affects a wide range of processes in the Arctic, but remains poorly constrained by observations. This study focuses on the northwestern Barents Sea, an area where sea ice is highly variable and affected both by local processes and ice transport from the adjacent Central Arctic Ocean. Satellite-derived sea ice age and back-trajectories indicate that sea ice was transported from the Central Arctic Ocean into the northwestern Barents Sea during 7 of 15 ice seasons between 2009–2024. Three of these seasons (2019–2021) coincided with moored in situ sea ice draft observations in the area. In these seasons, the arrival of ice from the Central Arctic Ocean coincided with a local transition to thicker and more uniform ice – a seasonal evolution that could not be explained by local thermodynamic forcing alone. Satellite-derived sea ice thickness and modelled thermodynamic ice growth along back-trajectories indicate that the Central Arctic-origin ice grew along its pathway within the Transpolar Drift, and had acquired its thickness before entering the Barents Sea. While intermittent at the study area, an advection-driven shift to thicker and older ice between February and June occurs at the margin between the Barents Sea and the Nansen Basin in the 2011–2023 climatology. The driver appears to be a seasonal progression of the atmospheric pressure configuration over the Atlantic sector of the Arctic Ocean. Large-scale patterns of sea ice transport are a key control on the pronounced interannual variability of summer sea ice thickness in the region, with implications across the marine system.

Competing interests: Sebastian Gerland is a member of the editorial board of The Cryosphere.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Øyvind Foss, Evgenii Salganik, Jack C. Landy, Samuel Brenner, Arild Sundfjord, Hiroshi Sumata, Sebastian Gerland, and Mats A. Granskog

Status: open (until 01 Dec 2026)

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Øyvind Foss, Evgenii Salganik, Jack C. Landy, Samuel Brenner, Arild Sundfjord, Hiroshi Sumata, Sebastian Gerland, and Mats A. Granskog
Øyvind Foss, Evgenii Salganik, Jack C. Landy, Samuel Brenner, Arild Sundfjord, Hiroshi Sumata, Sebastian Gerland, and Mats A. Granskog
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Latest update: 20 Oct 2026
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Short summary
Sea ice thickness is of key importance in the Arctic Ocean, but it is hard to measure. Using satellite observations and a 3-year record from moored instruments, this study examines sea ice in the northwestern Barents Sea. In 7 of 15 years examined, sea ice arrived from the north rather than forming locally. These irregular arrivals bring thicker and older ice grown while drifting across the Central Arctic Ocean, with consequences for the ocean, ecosystems, and human activity.
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