Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5334
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5334
23 Sep 2026
 | 23 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).

Detection of upper-level troughs and ridges using deep learning – application in the Mediterranean

Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela, Hadas Saaroni, and Baruch Ziv

Abstract. Upper-level troughs and ridges are fundamental drivers of mid-latitude weather, organizing cyclogenesis, precipitation, and temperature extremes. Despite their importance, automatic detection remains difficult: existing algorithms rely on rigid rules that struggle to capture the high geometric variability of synoptic features. We introduce a physics-informed deep learning framework for automated axis detection that incorporates physical knowledge into the learning process, by transforming a curvature-based detection algorithm into continuous, differentiable operators embedded within an attention-based network, so geometric criteria are learned from data and axis detection draws on context from the surrounding flow. The network takes ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) 500hPa geopotential height and horizontal wind fields as input, and is trained and evaluated against a new benchmark of expert-labelled Mediterranean trough and ridge scenes. The network output is a confidence map, converted into precise axis lines based on a cyclonic vorticity advection rule. The model significantly outperforms classical baselines (F1 rises from 0.64 to 0.84 for troughs and from 0.54 to 0.75 for ridges). The framework demonstrates generalization capabilities beyond its training data: it qualitatively transfers well to global mid-latitudes without retraining, and the same architecture, initially trained only on troughs, reaches competitive ridge-detection accuracy after fine-tuning on just ten additional labeled ridge scenes. Applying the detector to historical reanalysis, we construct the first expert-calibrated, deep-learning-based climatology of upper-level trough and ridge frequency for the Mediterranean basin, providing a powerful and easily portable tool for investigating upper-level circulation.

Project page: https://sela-omer.github.io/upper-level-trough-ridge-detection

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Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela, Hadas Saaroni, and Baruch Ziv

Status: open (until 04 Nov 2026)

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Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela, Hadas Saaroni, and Baruch Ziv

Data sets

Upper-level trough and ridge benchmark Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela, Hadas Saaroni, Baruch Ziv https://doi.org/10.57967/hf/10303

Model code and software

Detection of Upper-Level Troughs and Ridges Using Deep Learning Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22388962

Upper-level trough and ridge detection models Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela https://doi.org/10.57967/hf/10305

Ofir Ariel, Omer Sela, Hadas Saaroni, and Baruch Ziv
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Latest update: 23 Sep 2026
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Short summary
Upper-level troughs and ridges drive much of midlatitude weather, from storms to heatwaves, but tracking them automatically has been difficult. We trained an artificial intelligence model on examples created by expert meteorologists, producing a tool that detects these features more accurately than earlier methods. We used it to build a long-term record of these features, improving understanding of Mediterranean weather.
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