Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5322
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5322
09 Sep 2026
 | 09 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

A method for representing cities in global hydrological models

Naota Hanaaki, Kiyoharu Kajiyama, Yuga Takahashi, Kazufumi Yabu, Yuika Maniwa, and Shinjiro Kanae

Abstract. Due to increased computational resources and the availability of fine-scale global data, global hydrological models have begun to run at spatial resolutions that resolve major cities worldwide. Because water supply in cities is achieved by a set of infrastructure, traditional grid-level or basin-level modeling and assessment do not provide reliable and interpretable results for cities. Here, we propose a generic city sub-model for global hydrological models to express the water supply in cities. Using a newly developed global gridded database of city areal extent, we conducted a series of global hydrological simulations focusing on municipal water supply for 11 representative cities. Although the model was uncalibrated and forced with global data, the simulation performed reasonably for these cities. The results improved further when additional data on external water sources were taken into account. The subsequent city-level water assessment provides a single water scarcity score for each city. It is more interpretable than the traditional grid- or basin-level assessment, which typically shows a wide range of scores across grid cells or basins or includes non-urban regions. This study highlights the importance of representing cities in global hydrological models and water scarcity assessments, and the need to develop a comprehensive global database of urban water supply. This study opens a pathway toward city-level global water assessments using generic global hydrological models.

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Naota Hanaaki, Kiyoharu Kajiyama, Yuga Takahashi, Kazufumi Yabu, Yuika Maniwa, and Shinjiro Kanae

Status: open (until 04 Nov 2026)

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Naota Hanaaki, Kiyoharu Kajiyama, Yuga Takahashi, Kazufumi Yabu, Yuika Maniwa, and Shinjiro Kanae
Naota Hanaaki, Kiyoharu Kajiyama, Yuga Takahashi, Kazufumi Yabu, Yuika Maniwa, and Shinjiro Kanae
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Short summary
We propose a simple but efficient method for representing cities in global hydrological models. That is, abstract water from sources, distribute it within the city boundary, drain it through sewage, and return it to the downstream water body. Our method enables modelers to conduct city-level water scarcity assessments (i.e., one water scarcity score per city), which offers a clear advantage over conventional basin- or grid-level assessments.
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