Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5200
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-5200
09 Sep 2026
 | 09 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Brief communication: Unprecedented Everest storm reshapes expectations of future Himalayan precipitation extremes

Tom Matthews, Baker Perry, Ben Graves, Fanny Brun, Maria Sanolaria-Otin, Navaraj Pokhrel, Arbindra Khadka, Dibas Shrestha, Ludving Cano, Aris Kwadijk, Walter Immereel, Brandt Maxwell, and Anton Seimon

Abstract. One of the most extreme snowstorms ever documented, with among the highest 12- and 24-hour liquid-equivalent accumulations recorded globally, was captured by an ultra-high-elevation weather-station network on Mt. Everest on 4 October 2025. Beyond redefining expectations of extreme Himalayan snowfall magnitudes, the event revealed a relationship between precipitation intensity and phase: melting of precipitating hydrometeors cooled the atmosphere and suppressed rain at glacierised elevations, with the low-density, high-altitude atmosphere amplifying this feedback. As the climate warms, more extreme Himalayan precipitation is likely, but whether such events bring rain or snow—and therefore their impacts—will depend on fine-scale storm dynamics.

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Tom Matthews, Baker Perry, Ben Graves, Fanny Brun, Maria Sanolaria-Otin, Navaraj Pokhrel, Arbindra Khadka, Dibas Shrestha, Ludving Cano, Aris Kwadijk, Walter Immereel, Brandt Maxwell, and Anton Seimon

Status: open (until 21 Oct 2026)

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Tom Matthews, Baker Perry, Ben Graves, Fanny Brun, Maria Sanolaria-Otin, Navaraj Pokhrel, Arbindra Khadka, Dibas Shrestha, Ludving Cano, Aris Kwadijk, Walter Immereel, Brandt Maxwell, and Anton Seimon
Tom Matthews, Baker Perry, Ben Graves, Fanny Brun, Maria Sanolaria-Otin, Navaraj Pokhrel, Arbindra Khadka, Dibas Shrestha, Ludving Cano, Aris Kwadijk, Walter Immereel, Brandt Maxwell, and Anton Seimon
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Latest update: 09 Sep 2026
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Short summary
Extreme precipitation shapes hazards and water resources in high mountains, but is rarely observed directly. On 4 October 2025, weather stations on Mt. Everest recorded one of the most extreme snowfall events ever measured. The storm revealed that Himalayan snowfall extremes can be far larger than previously documented, and that intense snowfall can cool the atmosphere sufficiently to prevent rain at impact-sensitive elevations, complicating the picture of how warming will affect future storms.
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