Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-504
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-504
30 Jan 2026
 | 30 Jan 2026

Tropical Instability Vortices reduce Pacific Ocean ENSO-Driven CO2 outgassing

Lucas Carnier Casaroli, Nuno Serra, Fatemeh Chegini, and Tatiana Ilyina

Abstract. The relationship between the intensity of Pacific Ocean Tropical Instability Vortices (TIVs), ENSO variability, and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) remains poorly constrained. Here, we use a 30-year-long eddy-resolving ocean biogeochemistry simulation to quantify the effects of TIVs on DIC budget components at both synoptic and interannual timescales. At synoptic scales, TIVs primarily influence DIC through advection, especially along the leading edge of the wave fronts, while vertical diffusion and biological processes play secondary roles. To investigate interannual variability, we develop a TIV index to classify strong and weak TIV phases within each ENSO state. In the upper 50 meters, TIV-driven advection shapes large-scale DIC transport pathways while enhancing, yet spatially confining, primary production. Consequently, during El Niño, TIVs tend to amplify oceanic CO2 uptake, associated with a 57 % decrease in CO2 partial pressure (pCO2). During La Niña, they suppress CO2 outgassing, even reversing the ocean's role from a source to a sink. TIVs also affect the upper thermocline carbon inventory by modulating both biological activity and lateral transport. Strong TIVs during El Niño reduce DIC inventories in the upper thermocline by 8.5 GtC due to increased vertical mixing and enhanced transport, while during La Niña, strong TIVs lead to a 77 % higher DIC accumulation compared to weak TIVs. These findings underscore the critical role of TIVs in regulating the equatorial Pacific carbon budget and highlight the need to accurately represent them in Earth system models.

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Lucas Carnier Casaroli, Nuno Serra, Fatemeh Chegini, and Tatiana Ilyina

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Lucas Carnier Casaroli, Nuno Serra, Fatemeh Chegini, and Tatiana Ilyina
Lucas Carnier Casaroli, Nuno Serra, Fatemeh Chegini, and Tatiana Ilyina
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Short summary
This study shows that vortices in the equatorial Pacific strongly influence how the ocean absorbs and releases carbon dioxide. Using a 30-year high-resolution ocean biogeochemical model, we found that these vortices reshape carbon transport and primary production differently during El Niño and La Niña. The vortices can even reverse the role of the ocean from releasing to absorbing carbon, showing that motions hundreds of kilometers wide can shape basin-scale carbon patterns.
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