Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4942
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4942
19 Aug 2026
 | 19 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Strong Cloud-Mediated Aerosol Cooling in TaiESM1 Diagnosed Using Cloud Radiative Kernels and APRP Decomposition

I-Chun Tsai, Chein-Jung Shiu, Cheng-An Chen, Hsin-Chien Liang, Hung-Hsiung Hsu, and Wei-Liang Lee

Abstract. Aerosol–cloud interactions remain a major uncertainty in estimating human influence on climate. Here, we diagnose how aerosols, clouds, radiation, and ocean coupling interact in the Taiwan Earth System Model version 1 (TaiESM1). We use two complementary diagnostic methods to separate cloud radiative responses, aerosol-mediated effects, and the roles of aerosol–cloud and aerosol–radiation interactions. The contrast between the historical simulation and the pre-industrial control simulation produces a strongly negative total cloud radiative response (−2.08 W m⁻²), dominated by an aerosol-mediated component (−2.24 W m⁻²), despite a positive global-mean cloud feedback (+0.84 W m⁻² K⁻¹). This cooling is concentrated over the North Pacific and North Atlantic, where changes in low- and middle-level clouds are associated with stronger reflection of solar radiation. The shortwave aerosol effective radiative forcing is −2.34 W m⁻², mainly from aerosol–cloud interactions (−2.00 W m⁻²), while aerosol–radiation interactions are weaker (−0.34 W m⁻²). Within the aerosol–cloud component, cloud scattering dominates (−2.14 W m⁻²), whereas cloud-amount changes are small and positive (+0.12 W m⁻²). Compared with selected Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models, TaiESM1 lies near the strong aerosol–cloud cooling end of the sample. Fully coupled and prescribed-sea-surface-temperature simulations indicate that ocean coupling mainly alters regional patterns rather than the global-mean magnitude. These results identify cloud scattering of sunlight as the dominant driver of TaiESM1’s aerosol-related cloud cooling and highlight aerosol activation, cloud droplet number, and cloud optical depth as priorities for model development.

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I-Chun Tsai, Chein-Jung Shiu, Cheng-An Chen, Hsin-Chien Liang, Hung-Hsiung Hsu, and Wei-Liang Lee

Status: open (until 30 Sep 2026)

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I-Chun Tsai, Chein-Jung Shiu, Cheng-An Chen, Hsin-Chien Liang, Hung-Hsiung Hsu, and Wei-Liang Lee
I-Chun Tsai, Chein-Jung Shiu, Cheng-An Chen, Hsin-Chien Liang, Hung-Hsiung Hsu, and Wei-Liang Lee
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Latest update: 19 Aug 2026
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Short summary
Clouds and tiny air particles can change how much sunlight Earth reflects, but this effect remains difficult to measure. We studied this process in the Taiwan Earth System Model version 1 by comparing climate simulations and separating the roles of particles, clouds, sunlight, and the ocean. The model shows strong cooling mainly because particles make clouds reflect more sunlight, not because there are more clouds. This points to cloud brightness as a key target for improving climate models.
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