Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4814
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4814
13 Oct 2026
 | 13 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

ITDiff: A Motion-Aware Diffusion Framework with Implicit Temperature Flow Fields for High-Frequency Temporal Reconstruction of Temperature

Ge Liao, Ju Wang, Qian Li, Liwen Wang, Tinger Hu, and Sheng Li

Abstract. High-frequency temporal reconstruction of temperature fields aims to recover sub-daily temperature evolution from low-frequency states,which is essential for representing rapidly changing thermal variations. However, most existing methods formulate this task as a direct estimation of intermediate temporal states without explicitly modeling the latent transition process connecting adjacent states, which limits their ability to capture underlying dynamics and may lead to temporally inconsistent predictions. To address this limitation, we propose ITDiff, a motion-aware diffusion framework for high-frequency temporal reconstruction of temperature fields, in which Implicit Temperature Flow Fields (ITFFs) are introduced to represent the latent transition process between boundary and intermediate states. First, a Flow Teacher estimates ITFFs from the boundary and target states; these ITFFs are then used to guide a Synthesis Model in reconstructing temporally consistent intermediate states. Building on this teacher-guided representation, a Conditional Diffusion Model is subsequently trained to infer plausible ITFFs from boundary conditions alone, thereby enabling the recovery of fine-grained temporal variations that are often oversmoothed by conventional approaches. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ITDiff consistently outperforms representative baselines, improving RMSE-based reconstruction accuracy by up to 48 % while better preserving temporal structures across multiple scales.

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Ge Liao, Ju Wang, Qian Li, Liwen Wang, Tinger Hu, and Sheng Li

Status: open (until 08 Dec 2026)

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Ge Liao, Ju Wang, Qian Li, Liwen Wang, Tinger Hu, and Sheng Li
Ge Liao, Ju Wang, Qian Li, Liwen Wang, Tinger Hu, and Sheng Li
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Latest update: 13 Oct 2026
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Short summary
Weather forecasts help manage energy and prepare for storms, but models update only every three to six hours. Simple gap-filling methods blur key temperature changes. We built an AI system that tracks moving air masses and learns temperature patterns over time. Tested on East Asian data, our method cut errors by nearly half. It captures sudden cold wave drops that other methods miss. This tool provides more reliable weather information for communities and industries to reduce disaster impacts.
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