Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-479
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-479
29 Jan 2026
 | 29 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Opposing entrainment effects of cloud droplet sedimentation during the pre-breakup stage of the stratocumulus to cumulus transition

Moritz Schnelke, Maike Ahlgrimm, and Anna Possner

Abstract. Cloud droplet sedimentation is known to influence the evolution of the stratocumulus-topped boundary layer by reducing entrainment. Although this mechanism is well studied regarding the early evolution of stratocumuli, its sustained effects over longer timescales remain largely unexplored. Here, we use large-eddy simulations to investigate how sedimentation influences stratocumulus development in the context of the stratocumulus to cumulus transition. We conduct 48h long simulations of 10 transects in the Northeast Pacific, covering the full deepening stage before cloud breakup. All sedimentation cases show the previously reported initial reduction in entrainment, whereas the later stages reveal different effects depending on the cloud's liquid water path (LWP). While the more frequent precipitating, high-LWP (LWP>50gm2) cases continue to exhibit weaker entrainment, the non-precipitating, low-LWP (LWP50gm2) cases reverse the initial effect and show stronger entrainment. In those radiatively unsaturated low-LWP clouds, the increase in LWP due to the initial entrainment reduction initiates a feedback chain that amplifies LWP, longwave cooling, and turbulent circulations in the boundary layer, ultimately leading to increased entrainment. Initial studies showed that droplet sedimentation reduces entrainment in short (≤6h) simulations of low-LWP clouds, which has been extrapolated in the literature to all stratocumuli on much longer timescales. Our results suggest that this extrapolation is indeed correct in common high-LWP clouds, although it had previously been inferred from the rare low-LWP regime, where the opposite is found. Meanwhile, we find that cloud breakup remains largely unaffected across the transition.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Moritz Schnelke, Maike Ahlgrimm, and Anna Possner

Status: open (until 12 Mar 2026)

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Moritz Schnelke, Maike Ahlgrimm, and Anna Possner
Moritz Schnelke, Maike Ahlgrimm, and Anna Possner
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Short summary
This study explores how the downward movement of cloud droplets due to gravity impacts the evolution of stratocumulus clouds over longer timescales. In contrast to previous conclusions, we find that the effect differs in the long-term depending on the amount of water in the cloud. In thick clouds, sedimentation reduces boundary layer growth as expected. In thin clouds, it can trigger a feedback chain that leads to more efficient growth, resulting in opposite outcomes for the two categories.
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