Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4739
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4739
13 Oct 2026
 | 13 Oct 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Constraining freeboard in ocean state estimates using ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2

Mengnan Zhao, Rui Ponte, Ou Wang, Ichiro Fukumori, and Ian Fenty

Abstract. Sea ice thickness plays an important role in the climate system, yet it remains one of the least constrained variables in climate models due to limited spatiotemporal coverage of observations. Satellite missions such as ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2 have provided long records of basin-scale freeboard observations in both hemispheres, enabling estimates of sea ice thickness. Here, we assess uncertainties in freeboard retrievals from these two missions and evaluate their potential for improving the sea ice freeboard representation in the state estimates produced by the project for Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO). From comparisons of ICESat-2, CryoSat-2 and a preliminary ECCO version 5 forward model simulation, we find general consistency between the two observational products but substantial differences between modeled and observed freeboard across time-mean, seasonal, and monthly timescales. Biases in total freeboard (ice freeboard plus snow depth) are primarily attributed to the misrepresentation of the ice freeboard in the model. Time-mean model-observation misfits are typically more than 4 times larger than estimated data errors over the majority of the polar regions, while monthly misfits exceed data errors by a factor of ∼2. These results indicate that assimilating both total and ice freeboard observations could substantially improve the sea ice representation in ECCO state estimates across all timescales.

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Mengnan Zhao, Rui Ponte, Ou Wang, Ichiro Fukumori, and Ian Fenty

Status: open (until 24 Nov 2026)

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Mengnan Zhao, Rui Ponte, Ou Wang, Ichiro Fukumori, and Ian Fenty
Mengnan Zhao, Rui Ponte, Ou Wang, Ichiro Fukumori, and Ian Fenty
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Short summary
Sea ice thickness plays an important role in the climate system, yet it remains one of the least constrained variables in climate models. Our study evaluates the uncertainties in sea ice data from ICESat-2 and CryoSat-2 missions and concludes that assimilating such sea ice data could substantially improve the sea ice fields being produced under the project for Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean (ECCO).
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