Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4672
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4672
09 Sep 2026
 | 09 Sep 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Regional variability in East Antarctic surface accumulation over the past 162 kyr inferred from englacial stratigraphy at the southern flank of Dome A

Shuai Yan, Michelle R. Koutnik, Tyler J. Fudge, Shivangini Singh, Duyi Li, Donald D. Blankenship, and Duncan A. Young

Abstract. Accurate reconstructions of past surface mass balance are critical for understanding Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution. Ice cores can provide valuable records of surface mass balance history, but individual core sites may not fully capture regional variability. In this study, we infer the surface mass balance history along the southern flank of Dome A, East Antarctica, with recently acquired englacial radiostratigraphy. We first estimate the average accumulation rate for the past 4.9 kyr. We then use a 2.5-D flowband model constrained by eight dated englacial horizons from 4.9 ka to 161.9 ka to infer temporal variations in the surface mass balance history. We find that applying the normalized temporal accumulation history from the EPICA Dome C (EDC) ice core leads to a substantial mismatch between modeled and observed englacial stratigraphy along the southern flank of Dome A. To match the observed stratigraphy within the range of uncertainties, the model requires accumulation rates approximately 5 %–33 % higher than EDC-derived values between 10.9 and 40.8 ka, 30 %–98 % higher between 40.8 and 87.9 ka, and 18 %–38 % lower between 87.9 and 161.9 ka. Accumulation histories derived from individual deep ice cores, while valuable, may not fully represent the spatial and temporal variability across different sectors of Antarctica. This work underscores the need to combine ice-core chronologies, radar-derived stratigraphy, and ice-flow modeling to build regionally appropriate reconstructions of climate history.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of The Cryosphere.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Shuai Yan, Michelle R. Koutnik, Tyler J. Fudge, Shivangini Singh, Duyi Li, Donald D. Blankenship, and Duncan A. Young

Status: open (until 21 Oct 2026)

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Shuai Yan, Michelle R. Koutnik, Tyler J. Fudge, Shivangini Singh, Duyi Li, Donald D. Blankenship, and Duncan A. Young
Shuai Yan, Michelle R. Koutnik, Tyler J. Fudge, Shivangini Singh, Duyi Li, Donald D. Blankenship, and Duncan A. Young
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Latest update: 09 Sep 2026
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Short summary
Surface snow accumulation is a key control on how the Antarctic Ice Sheet changes. We combined airborne radar observations with numerical models to reconstruct snow accumulation in a interior sector of Antarctica over the past 162,000 years. The results show that this region often followed a different history from a major East Antarctic ice-core site, demonstrating that records from one location may not represent a wider area and that broader observations are needed.
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