Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4588
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4588
21 Aug 2026
 | 21 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

ALERT: A Scalable Cloud-Native Framework for Satellite Rainfall-Driven Landslide Early Warning in Data-Scarce Regions

Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu

Abstract. Rainfall-triggered landslides cause thousands of fatalities each year, yet effective early warning remains challenging across many mountainous regions because of sparse rainfall observations and limited forecasting infrastructure. Here we present ALERT (Automated Landslide Early Risk Tracker), a scalable, cloud-native framework that integrates NASA IMERG satellite precipitation, ECMWF operational forecasts, terrain susceptibility, rainfall intensity–duration thresholds, debris-flow runout modelling, and building exposure to deliver near-real-time, impact-based landslide warnings. ALERT incorporates a globally transferable catalogue of 24 rainfall thresholds while allowing user-defined thresholds and susceptibility layers, enabling deployment across diverse climatic and geomorphological settings. Event-based validation achieved a sensitivity of 0.80 and an overall accuracy exceeding 0.70, demonstrating effective detection of hazardous rainfall conditions for landslide initiation. By reducing dependence on dense ground-based rain-gauge networks, ALERT provides a computationally efficient and scalable pathway towards regional scale landslide early warning and climate-resilient disaster risk reduction, particularly in data-scarce regions.

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Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu

Status: open (until 02 Oct 2026)

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Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu
Ali P. Yunus, Erakkath Faizah, Saju Mukundan, Kochappi Sathyan Sajinkumar, Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Raju Attada, and Ashokan Laila Achu
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Latest update: 21 Aug 2026
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Short summary
Rainfall-triggered landslides cause widespread damage, particularly in data-scarce regions with limited monitoring. We developed a cloud-based application that integrates satellite rainfall, terrain susceptibility, and rainfall thresholds to deliver near real-time landslide warnings. It identifies hazardous rainfall conditions, predicts areas at risk, and supports user-defined thresholds, providing a globally scalable framework for landslide early warning and disaster risk reduction.
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