Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4302
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4302
24 Jul 2026
 | 24 Jul 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Ocean Science (OS).

Physical connectivity and Lagrangian transport patterns in the Bay of Biscay across 30 years

Nadine Steiger, Ivan Manso-Narvarte, Ainhoa Caballero, and Anna Rubio

Abstract. Understanding ocean physical connectivity is essential for characterizing and predicting transport patterns, which in turn play a fundamental role in several marine processes. Here, we present an analysis of 30 years of surface water connectivity for the Bay of Biscay, derived from backward Lagrangian particle simulations driven by hourly high-resolution surface velocity reanalysis fields. The Lagrangian simulations are used to characterize transport pathways within and between key subregions across integration times of 7, 30, and 90 days, thereby capturing connectivity from weekly to seasonal scales. 

Results show that the obtained seasonal cycle of connectivity reflects the seasonal variability of regional ocean circulation: i) The northward transport along the shelf by the Iberian–Poleward Current, ii) the presence of transport barriers along the continental slope, and iii) the enhanced cross-shelf transport from the Spanish shelf during spring and from the French shelf during summer. Regional maps of particle origins and transit times reveal areas of strong isolation along the French coast and zones of intensive mixing at the French Spanish border. While interannual variability is evident, the simulations also indicate a slight but significant long-term decrease in transport from the Spanish to the French shelf. 

Overall, these results provide an overview of the main pathways of transport and retention within the Bay of Biscay at different time scales, offering insights into its potential role in different key ocean processes such as marine litter or plankton dispersal, genetic exchange, and ecosystem functioning.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Nadine Steiger, Ivan Manso-Narvarte, Ainhoa Caballero, and Anna Rubio

Status: open (until 18 Sep 2026)

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  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-4302', Anonymous Referee #1, 11 Aug 2026 reply
Nadine Steiger, Ivan Manso-Narvarte, Ainhoa Caballero, and Anna Rubio
Nadine Steiger, Ivan Manso-Narvarte, Ainhoa Caballero, and Anna Rubio

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Short summary
Ocean currents transport water, marine life, nutrients, and pollution. Using computer simulations, we studied the movement and origin of surface waters in the Bay of Biscay. We found seasonal offshore transport of coastal waters, relatively isolated waters on the French shelf, and strong exchange from the Spanish to the French shelf that has gradually weakened over time. These results improve our understanding of the transport of organisms, marine litter, and other materials in the region.
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