Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4269
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4269
21 Aug 2026
 | 21 Aug 2026

New particle formation contribution to aerosol mass: regimes and implications for future urban environments

Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala

Abstract. New particle formation (NPF) is a major source of global aerosol number concentration yet its contribution to aerosol mass remains unclear. Here we propose a regime framework for NPF mass contributions using aerosol dynamic simulations constrained by atmospheric measurements. We show that new particles can contribute more than 10 μg m−3 to particle mass under conditions characterized by high initial new particle concentrations, high condensable vapor production rates, and low background condensation sink (CSbg). Among these influencing factors, the initial CSbg governs NPF mass contribution: NPF contributes significantly to aerosol surface area and mass at an initial CSbg of ~0.001 s−1 (regime I), while its contribution becomes negligible when CSbg exceeds 0.01 s−1 (regime III). Results show that NPF events in urban Beijing occurs mostly in a transition regime (initial CSbg 0.001–0.01 s−1, regime II), in which the NPF mass contribution is also modulated by the mass accommodation coefficient of background particles, while events at a Finnish forest site falls in regimes I and II. With a declining CSbg, NPF mass contribution in urban environments will shift toward regimes I and II, indicating that control of NPF precursors represents an effective strategy for present and future particulate matter pollution.

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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

12 Nov 2026
New particle formation contribution to aerosol mass: regimes and implications for future urban environments
Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 16003–16012, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-16003-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-16003-2026, 2026
Short summary
Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Sep 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Sep 2026
  • AC1: 'Author Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Runlong Cai, 09 Oct 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Runlong Cai on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Oct 2026) by Imre Salma
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (19 Oct 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (28 Oct 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (30 Oct 2026) by Imre Salma
AR by Runlong Cai on behalf of the Authors (01 Nov 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Anonymous Referee #1, 20 Sep 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Sep 2026
  • AC1: 'Author Comment on egusphere-2026-4269', Runlong Cai, 09 Oct 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Runlong Cai on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Oct 2026) by Imre Salma
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (19 Oct 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (28 Oct 2026)
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (30 Oct 2026) by Imre Salma
AR by Runlong Cai on behalf of the Authors (01 Nov 2026)  Author's response   Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

12 Nov 2026
New particle formation contribution to aerosol mass: regimes and implications for future urban environments
Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 26, 16003–16012, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-16003-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-26-16003-2026, 2026
Short summary
Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala
Runlong Cai, Shimeng Xu, Veli-Matti Kerminen, and Markku Kulmala

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Short summary
New particle formation (NPF) is a dominant global source of atmospheric particle number concentration and cloud condensation nuclei, yet its contribution to aerosol mass remains an open question. A prevailing hypothesis argues that vapors would partition into the particle phase regardless of the existence of new particles. Here we challenge this hypothesis by showing that NPF can significantly affect the aerosol surface area distribution and further contribute significantly to aerosol mass.
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