Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4120
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4120
07 Aug 2026
 | 07 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

ENSO simulation in the coupled Korean Integrated Model

Sae-Rim Yeo, Myung-Seo Koo, Eunjeong Lee, and Kyung-Hee Seol

Abstract. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) simulation characteristics in the newly established coupled Korea Integrated Model (coupled KIM), which is designed for extended-range prediction. To robustly diagnose ENSO behavior, a 171-year coupled simulation was conducted and systematically evaluated against eight CMIP6 models that share the Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO) as their oceanic component. Benchmarking the CLIVAR 2020 ENSO metrics framework, we evaluate diverse aspects of ENSO, including its spatial pattern, intensity, skewness, seasonality, and teleconnections, within the context of the tropical Pacific mean state. The coupled KIM exhibits moderate to above-average performance across most key metrics. Notably, the model successfully mitigates the common systematic bias of an excessive westward extension of the ENSO sea surface temperature (SST) pattern. This improvement is linked to a warmer eastern Pacific mean state compared to other CMIP6 models. However, this warm bias leads to a weak zonal SST gradient and a relatively deeper-than-normal thermocline, which consequently underestimates the overall ENSO intensity. Furthermore, this eastern Pacific warm bias undergoes pronounced seasonal expansion during January–February, intimately synchronized with an amplified double ITCZ bias. This seasonal coupling further flattens the simulated ENSO seasonality, although the ratio of ENSO amplitude between winter and spring remains one of the most realistic among the evaluated models. The model also demonstrates outstanding skill in reproducing ENSO skewness, which is plausibly attributed to recent advancements in the vertical mixing processes of the NEMO component. Additionally, the coupled KIM realistically captures tropical precipitation anomalies and their teleconnection patterns, including the extratropical atmospheric responses in the Northern Hemisphere. These findings validate the current developmental trajectory of the coupled KIM and highlight its robust potential for reliable extended-range forecasting.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Sae-Rim Yeo, Myung-Seo Koo, Eunjeong Lee, and Kyung-Hee Seol

Status: open (until 02 Oct 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Sae-Rim Yeo, Myung-Seo Koo, Eunjeong Lee, and Kyung-Hee Seol
Sae-Rim Yeo, Myung-Seo Koo, Eunjeong Lee, and Kyung-Hee Seol
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 07 Aug 2026
Download
Short summary
We evaluate how well the coupled Korean Integrated Model, currently under development, simulates El Niño-Southern Oscillation using a long-term integration experiment and comparisons with international climate models. The model reproduced many key features realistically, including ocean temperature patterns, seasonal changes, and links to remote weather. The results show strong promise for improving extended-range forecast.
Share