Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3979
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3979
29 Jul 2026
 | 29 Jul 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Ocean Science (OS).

Near-absence of surface zooplankton and pervasive anthropogenic particles along a zonal North Atlantic transect: a multi-vessel citizen-science image survey

Howard Dryden and Diane Duncan

Abstract. Climate policy treats carbon dioxide as the single lever on the climate. We suggest a second one has been overlooked: the marine biodiversity that builds and maintains the ocean surface microlayer (SML) and that pollution is now degrading. Water vapour, not CO₂, is the largest single contributor to the natural greenhouse effect and the strongest feedback on warming. The ocean supplies most of that vapour across the 71% of the planet it covers, and the thin biogenic lipid-and-surfactant film phytoplankton spread over the sea surface helps govern how readily it evaporates and forms aerosol. That same film gathers lipophilic "forever" chemicals, together with the microplastic and black-carbon soot they cling to, to levels far above the water beneath, where they turn toxic to the plankton that hold the ecosystem together.

An automated image pipeline sized and classified 51,547 particles larger than 20 μm in 352 georeferenced surface samples from eight sailing vessels crossing the trade-wind North Atlantic. Zooplankton were absent from 93.8% of stations. Black carbon appeared at 89.8%, microplastic particles at 69.9%, microfibres at 22.4% and phytoplankton at 81.8%; 99.2% of everything counted measured below 200 μm. A separate 110-image, GPS-tagged crossing returned zero zooplankton at every point on the track, and a plankton net towed at the surface by day and by night confirmed the scarcity directly, returning roughly 0.2 to 0.5 animals per cubic metre – far below any productive ocean. In short, this surface layer is stripped of animal plankton and steeped in combustion and plastic residue. We trace what that may mean for the microlayer, for water-vapour feedback and cloud formation, and for ocean pH, and argue that cutting pollution has to sit beside cutting carbon.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Howard Dryden and Diane Duncan

Status: open (until 23 Sep 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-3979', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Aug 2026 reply
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Howard Dryden, 17 Aug 2026 reply
      • AC2: 'Reply on AC1', Howard Dryden, 18 Aug 2026 reply
        • RC3: 'Reply on AC2', Anonymous Referee #1, 18 Aug 2026 reply
          • AC4: 'Reply on RC3', Howard Dryden, 19 Aug 2026 reply
            • RC4: 'Reply on AC4', Anonymous Referee #1, 19 Aug 2026 reply
              • AC5: 'Reply on RC4', Howard Dryden, 19 Aug 2026 reply
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-3979', Anonymous Referee #2, 17 Aug 2026 reply
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Howard Dryden, 18 Aug 2026 reply
  • RC5: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-3979', Anonymous Referee #3, 20 Aug 2026 reply
Howard Dryden and Diane Duncan

Video supplement

Sargassum in middle of Atlantic Howard Dryden https://youtu.be/TFcTT6AgExs

s/v Copepod in Atlantic trade winds about 500 nm from Grenada Howard Dryden https://youtu.be/zoW-CoUPbps

Howard Dryden and Diane Duncan

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Short summary
Plankton – the tiny plants and animals drifting at the sea surface – underpin ocean life and help regulate climate. Sailing across the tropical Atlantic on eight yachts, volunteer crews filtered surface seawater and photographed it. At 352 sites they found almost no animal plankton but soot and plastic almost everywhere. Because the living film plankton form on the sea surface helps clouds form and slows evaporation, cutting pollution – not only carbon – may matter for the ocean and climate.
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