Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3487
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3487
10 Aug 2026
 | 10 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Large droughts are not large small droughts: hydro-meteorological drought generation processes vary with streamflow drought size in the Alpine region

Joren Janzing and Manuela I. Brunner

Abstract. Streamflow droughts can be caused by a range of processes which can show strong heterogeneity from basin to basin. In contrast to local droughts, spatially extensive droughts seem to have more spatially homogeneous driving processes. However, the underlying mechanisms that cause this difference in the generation processes of small vs. large droughts are not well understood. This study presents an observation-based analysis that bridges this scale gap between large and small streamflow droughts. We assess how drought generation processes vary with drought size by classifying droughts into different types using streamflow drought observations and different hydro-meteorological variables. We find that: (1) most large drought events are characterized by one or two drought types even in hydro-climatically complex regions such as the Alps; (2) each drought type has its own spatial footprint and only specific drought types can lead to large droughts; and (3) in recent years, large droughts have increasingly been characterized by a mix of drought types. Our results highlight that the most common drought type in a catchment might not always lead to large droughts, which can be important for water management.

Competing interests: Manuela Brunner is an editor with HESS. The authors declare no further competing interests.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Joren Janzing and Manuela I. Brunner

Status: open (until 21 Sep 2026)

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Joren Janzing and Manuela I. Brunner

Data sets

Large-sample hydro-meteorological dataset for the Alps Christopher Schlemper, Jonas Götte, and Manuela Brunner https://doi.org/10.4211/hs.f1c12fa6c5be4c61a5ec617fa62e13d6

Joren Janzing and Manuela I. Brunner
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Latest update: 10 Aug 2026
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Short summary
Large streamflow droughts seem to be related to spatially more homogeneous drivers than smaller droughts. Mechanisms causing this difference are not well understood. We bridge the scale gap between large and small droughts using observations and a drought typology. We find that large droughts are characterized by one or two drought types and each type has its own spatial footprint. Common drought types in a river do not always lead to large droughts, which can be important for water managers.
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