Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3195
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3195
22 Jul 2026
 | 22 Jul 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Meteorological and Land-Cover Controls on Grassland Fire Behaviour by WRF v4.4-SFIRE v0.1 with the computational optimization

Mengjie Lou, Qizhong Wu, Yongli Wang, Baogang Zhang, Jinhua Tao, Pu Gan, Huaqiong Cheng, Jiating Zhang, Jiahuan He, and Meng Fan

Abstract. Under global warming, grassland wildfire risk has increased substantially. The WRF-SFIRE model was applied to the extreme grassland wildfire that occurred in Inner Mongolia in 2023, with satellite-derived fire perimeters used to evaluate the effects of meteorological forcing, land cover, and key driving factors on fire behavior, as well as to optimize model performance. For meteorological forcing, the FNL 6 h two-way coupling configuration achieved the highest spatial agreement with observations, with a recall of 39.1 %, whereas ERA5 was more sensitive to short-term meteorological variability but tended to overestimate fire spread. For land cover, FROM_GLC30 (2017) showed relatively high overall agreement but tended to overexpand the fire, GlobeLand30 (2020) produced more conservative simulations, and GLC_FCS30D (2022) achieved the best overall performance. Fire-atmosphere feedback significantly enhanced fire spread rate and burned area. Wind speed exerted the strongest influence on burned area and spread distance, relative humidity mainly controlled spread rate and flame length, and air temperature played a secondary role. Among the fuel-related parameters, fuel load mainly affected flame intensity, fuel depth dominated burned area variation, and fuel moisture effects mainly regulated spread rate. In addition, the optimized computational configuration, particularly the combined use of PNetCDF and asynchronous I/O, reduced runtime by 29.3 % relative to the baseline case. These results clarify the differential effects of input data and key driving factors on grassland fire behavior simulations and provide more reliable support for fire risk warning and management.

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Mengjie Lou, Qizhong Wu, Yongli Wang, Baogang Zhang, Jinhua Tao, Pu Gan, Huaqiong Cheng, Jiating Zhang, Jiahuan He, and Meng Fan

Status: open (until 16 Sep 2026)

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Mengjie Lou, Qizhong Wu, Yongli Wang, Baogang Zhang, Jinhua Tao, Pu Gan, Huaqiong Cheng, Jiating Zhang, Jiahuan He, and Meng Fan
Mengjie Lou, Qizhong Wu, Yongli Wang, Baogang Zhang, Jinhua Tao, Pu Gan, Huaqiong Cheng, Jiating Zhang, Jiahuan He, and Meng Fan

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Short summary
Climate change worsens wildfires, but fire drivers are unclear and models run slowly. Simulating a 2023 Inner Mongolia grassland fire, we tested how weather and land cover affect simulation accuracy and found that wind controls burned area and spread distance, humidity drives spread rate and flame length, while fuel depth dominates burned area. In addition, computational optimizations cut runtime by 30%. These findings deepen understanding of fire mechanisms and improve model emergency response.
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