the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Triggering volcanic eruptions by gas bubbles accumulations in the magma chamber
Abstract. We present a model for volcanic eruptions in open-conduit condition based on the transport of batches of magma driven by the accumulation of bubbles. The viscosity of the surrounding magma counteracts gravity; however, the primary upward force acting on these bodies is driven by gas vesicles which accumulate beneath the denser bodies. Few simple and realistic assumptions lead to our theoretical model, based on the Brownian motion of colder and denser bodies embedded in a less dense and hotter magma, that can fit very well the erupted volumes distribution obtained from on field observations. Further validation is provided by extensive simulations which include all the main theoretical ingredients and, at the same time, provide additional insights on the functioning of volcanoes. Overall, the model provides a good representation of the Strombolian eruptive style. In fact, it was developed to address the apparent paradox of observing denser erupted materials embedded within a less dense magmatic medium. Furthermore, the model successfully reproduces the eruption volume distributions across various eruptive styles, suggesting that a mechanism such as coalescence underpins a more generalized framework for volcanic activity.
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Status: open (until 12 Sep 2026)
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-2987', Anonymous Referee #1, 17 Aug 2026
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Cataldo Godano, 19 Aug 2026
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Please see the supplement file for the answer to the referee's observations
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AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Cataldo Godano, 19 Aug 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-2987', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 Aug 2026
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Please, find attached the comments.
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This interesting work models the material involved in volcanic eruptions as resulting from the transport of magma blobs driven by the accretion of gas bubbles. The main point is that the distribution of blobs coalescing during diffusive dynamics matches the distribution of eruption sizes, which follows a power law with exponent −3/2. The text is clear and the proposed model is intriguing. The manuscript is an original addition to the literature with quantitative predictive power. I recommend its publication, provided that the main assumption of Brownian dynamics is discussed in more detail. Also some other points and logical passages should be made clearer.
The crucial mechanism in the model is diffusion plus aggregation, but it is not clear what corresponds to white noise and Brownian dynamics at the macroscopic scale of erupted blobs. At line 232, the “Mapping of reduced units into physical ones” does not discuss the values of the diffusion constants in physical units. I think that the paper would benefit from a richer discussion of these points. Moreover, it would be interesting to check whether a more deterministic form of convective dynamics (i.e. some stirring) plus aggregation still effectively reproduces the V^−3/2 scaling of volumes. This would make the mechanism more universal, and in fact it is mentioned as a modeled process at line 118.
A second question concerns the empirical statistics of erupted magma volumes: is VOGRIPA a global catalogue collecting eruption statistics from many volcanoes? If so, is it a weighted average biased towards the statistics of the more active volcanoes, with an upper size that averages single-volcano distributions with different cutoffs? The data in Fig. 2 do not show a clear cutoff in the tail. In this context, what is a potentially erupted volume Ve? And how is it related to the blob of volume V from (11) to (12)?
Section 2.2.1 on bubble formation is interesting, but the model then does not make much use of the detailed physical laws it describes, because it assumes a linear increase in buoyancy. As such, the section seems a bit detached from the main body of the paper. Furthermore, (3) scales as ΔP−2, hence it is not clear why the increase of ΔG with decreasing ΔP “makes easy the bubble formation even for small ΔP,” as stated at line 83. Another doubt concerns (7), termed the minimum radius for trapped bubbles: is it instead a maximum? At line 19, “new bubbles are generated due to Eq. (3)” sounds a bit too much like a shortcut.
The last question is why assuming a very large viscosity of the magma allows the force due to gravity to be neglected. Both the gravitational force (18) and the buoyancy force (19) are divided by the viscous coefficient.
Finally, in the abstract, I would suggest associating the word “coalescence” more explicitly with the quantity it refers to.