Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2961
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2961
02 Jun 2026
 | 02 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Aerosol–cloud interactions influence the climate response to AMOC weakening

Ryan Vella and Ulrike Lohmann

Abstract. The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strongly influences regional climate, yet the response of atmospheric aerosols and aerosol-cloud interactions to its weakening remains largely unexplored. Using the ICON-HAM model, we investigate how a 60 % AMOC weakening affects aerosol distributions, cloud microphysics, and radiative budgets. The weakening of the AMOC drives a hemispheric aerosol redistribution through purely dynamical pathways, increasing the Northern Hemisphere aerosol burden by 5 % through enhanced Saharan dust emissions and extended aerosol lifetimes under suppressed wet deposition. Averaged over 40–90° N, these perturbations propagate into cloud properties via both liquid and ice-phase pathways. In-cloud droplet number concentrations increase by 8 % in warm clouds and 13 % in the mixed-phase regime. In the ice phase, enhanced dust ice-nucleating particles produce a 37 % increase in mixed-phase ice crystal number concentrations through multiple heterogeneous freezing pathways, promoting the Wegener-Bergeron-Findeisen process and reducing mixed-phase total water path by 8 %. The global-mean net cloud radiative effect (CRE) anomaly is +0.84 W m-2, acting as a negative feedback that partially offsets AMOC-induced cooling. A linear decomposition reveals that this positive CRE arises not from cloud loss, but from a reduction in the cooling efficiency of existing clouds, which more than offsets the enhanced cooling from increased cloud cover. Our findings demonstrate that aerosol-cloud interactions form an active component of the climate response to AMOC weakening, exposing a critical gap in simulations that rely on prescribed aerosol fields.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
Share
Ryan Vella and Ulrike Lohmann

Status: open (until 14 Jul 2026)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
Ryan Vella and Ulrike Lohmann
Ryan Vella and Ulrike Lohmann
Metrics will be available soon.
Latest update: 02 Jun 2026
Download
Short summary
The Atlantic Ocean's overturning circulation transports heat northward and may weaken under climate change. We show that this weakening redistributes natural dust and other particles across the atmosphere, altering cloud properties worldwide. Clouds become thinner in cold regions, reducing their ability to cool the planet. This produces a warming effect of about 0.84 watts per square metre that partially counteracts the cooling from a weaker circulation.
Share