Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2918
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2918
11 Jun 2026
 | 11 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (NPG).

Characterizing inertial and diabatic energy transfers in tropical cyclones

Tom Dörffel, Natalia Mikula, Lisa Schielicke, Theresa Kiszler, Davide Faranda, Berengere Dubrulle, and Nikki Vercauteren

Abstract. We investigate the multiscale organization of tropical cyclones (TCs) in terms of the redistribution of kinetic energy. In particular, we analyze the across-scale transfer relative to the core scale. Our aim is to find indicators for diagnosing potential events of sudden intensity changes and thereby allowing for a risk-assessment even in cases where dynamical models would not capture the dynamics of the TCs. Two different approaches as diagnostic tools are proposed: a two-dimensional version of the Duchon-Robert index and the leading-order contribution of the diabatic kinetic energy generation. We present results on the analysis of two datasets, one synthetic TC and one extracted from ERA5 reanalyses, and find characteristic patterns of these indicators that are related to the structure and the evolution of the storms. This study serves as a proof-of-concept for future applications of both of the presented indices.

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Tom Dörffel, Natalia Mikula, Lisa Schielicke, Theresa Kiszler, Davide Faranda, Berengere Dubrulle, and Nikki Vercauteren

Status: open (until 06 Aug 2026)

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Tom Dörffel, Natalia Mikula, Lisa Schielicke, Theresa Kiszler, Davide Faranda, Berengere Dubrulle, and Nikki Vercauteren

Data sets

Characterizing inertial and diabatic energy transfers in tropical cyclones: Data Tom Dörffel, Natalia Mikula, Lisa Schielicke, Theresa Kiszler, Davide Faranda, Bérengère Debrulle, Nikki Vercauteren https://doi.org/10.12752/10135

Tom Dörffel, Natalia Mikula, Lisa Schielicke, Theresa Kiszler, Davide Faranda, Berengere Dubrulle, and Nikki Vercauteren
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Short summary
We investigate how two different indicators related to measures of energy transfer can be used to assess the dynamics of tropical cyclones. One indicator is based on the energy redistribution across length-scales and the other one is based on more fundamental thermodynamic principles. This research demonstrates the potential of these indicators of being used as predictors for the intensity change of tropical cyclones even in under-resolved simulations.
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