Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2911
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2911
30 Jun 2026
 | 30 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Rethinking fractal scaling of sea ice deformation: the dominant role of signed-gradient cancellation

Florence L. Beaudry and L. Bruno Tremblay

Abstract. We use synthetic sea ice velocity fields to assess the robustness and physical interpretation of first-order scaling diagnostics, commonly associated with spatial localization in the sea ice modeling community. The synthetic fields are constructed to reproduce a wide range of RADARSAT Geophysical Processor System (RGPS)-derived deformation statistics while providing full control over signal-to-noise ratio, divergence-to-shear ratio, lead density, orientation and spatial localization. Results show that spatial scaling arises from the cancellation of signed velocity gradients in the coarse-graining procedure rather than from localization. For instance, dirac-delta deformation field mimicking idealized fracture lines does not show scaling in the absence of signed-gradient cancellation, and smoothly varying (non-localized) deformation fields yield scaling exponents comparable to observations when they contain both positive and negative velocity gradients. We further demonstrate that the standard fractal diagnostic is not invariant under rotation: a pure shear (non-divergent) deformation field exhibits different scale dependence when expressed in a rotated frame. These conclusions derived from synthetic deformation fields when applied to real sea ice deformation from RGPS and sea ice models from the Sea Ice Rheology Experiment (SIREx) show that observed scaling is similarly dominated by cancellation between positive and negative strain rates rather than geometric localization, and therefore are largely determined by PDFs of deformations. These findings reveal key limitations in current scale-invariance-derived diagnostics and call for physically interpretable and robust metrics.

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Florence L. Beaudry and L. Bruno Tremblay

Status: open (until 11 Aug 2026)

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Florence L. Beaudry and L. Bruno Tremblay
Florence L. Beaudry and L. Bruno Tremblay
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Latest update: 30 Jun 2026
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Short summary
Sea ice in the Arctic Ocean moves under the action of waves and currents, causing it to deform along narrow lines where the ice opens or piles up. A standard way to evaluate whether models reproduce this behavior relies on how deformation changes with scale. Using synthetic ice fields, we show that this metric responds to how much opening and closing is happening overall, rather than to the organization of the deformation itself, raising caution to its use as a model evaluation tool.
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