Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2901
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2901
11 Jun 2026
 | 11 Jun 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Review article: Climate hazards and risk in African cities – knowledge gaps and research needs

Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman

Abstract. This study presents a semi-systematic synthesis of scientific literature published between 2015 and 2025 on climate risk in African cities. From an initial set of 1,832 records identified through broad climate- and urban-related keywords, 273 articles were selected through title and abstract screening. Using a mixed-methods approach, the study combines quantitative mapping of geographic coverage, climate hazards, methodologies, and keyword networks with expert review and AI-assisted synthesis of research gaps. Results reveal a rapidly growing but uneven knowledge base. Research is concentrated in a limited number of regions and large cities, while Central Africa and secondary cities remain underrepresented. Studies focus mainly on a restricted set of hazards, with few adopting multi-hazard risk perspectives. Earth Observation is widely used but remains underexploited, while high-resolution urban climate modelling and integrated assessments of social vulnerability, governance, and health impacts are still limited. Most studies are retrospective and rarely combine future climate scenarios with projected urban growth, highlighting a gap between scientific knowledge and urban planning needs.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman

Status: open (until 23 Jul 2026)

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Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman
Koen De Ridder, Mohammad Alobaidi, Hossein Bonakdari, Tomas Crols, Benjamin Lanssens, Jonathan Leon-Tavares, Alireza Nasseri, Ousmane Seidou, Mohammad Shaheen, Niels Souverijns, Inge Uljee, and Nele Veldeman
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Latest update: 11 Jun 2026
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Short summary
This review examined 273 studies on climate risks in African cities published between 2015 and 2025. We found that research is growing rapidly but remains focused on a limited number of large cities and mainly on flooding and heat. Many studies lack detailed local data and rarely combine future climate change with rapid urban growth. The results highlight the need for better city-scale information and planning tools to help African cities prepare for increasing climate risks.
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