Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2669
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2669
10 Aug 2026
 | 10 Aug 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

An Incomplete Interval Analytic Hierarchy Process for Group Decision-Making in Post-Earthquake Emergency Rescue Prioritization

Minlian Wu

Abstract. Post-earthquake emergency resource allocation requires rapid, scientific decision-making under information incompleteness and uncertainty, where traditional deterministic approaches are inadequate. This study proposes a group decision-making framework for post-earthquake rescue priority evaluation, which combines interval-valued preference representation and optimization-based incomplete matrix completion. It extends the interval Analytic Hierarchy Process (IAHP) to non-complete information environments with a multi-objective optimization model (MOP4) to recover missing entries while maintaining consistency. Sufficient conditions for full matrix consistency are established, and a possibility degree-based ranking mechanism is used to get priority orderings. The framework is validated in a real post-earthquake rescue prioritization case in central Myanmar (including Sagaing Division) following the March 28, 2025, 7.9-magnitude seismic event. Four criteria are assessed by experts under partial information. Results show X7 and X5 are top-priority for immediate rescue, and reveal a tension between rescue urgency and feasibility that single-criterion approaches miss. Comparative analysis confirms the framework's robustness, consistency, and adaptability compared to conventional approaches. The findings contribute to uncertain group decision-making theory and provide tools for emergency management within the 72 - hour post-disaster window.

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Minlian Wu

Status: open (until 21 Sep 2026)

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Latest update: 10 Aug 2026
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Short summary
This study developed a group decision-making framework for post-earthquake rescue priority evaluation under incomplete interval-valued preference information, filling a critical methodological gap at the intersection of uncertain multi-criteria decision analysis and emergency management practice. The framework integrates interval number AHP with multi-objective optimization-based matrix completion to derive priority rankings from fragmented expert judgments in real-world post-disaster settings.
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