Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2426
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2426
08 May 2026
 | 08 May 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Cloud liquid water path at the North Slope of Alaska is largely insensitive to local meteorology in Arctic winter

Kara Hartig, John J. Cassano, Matthew D. Shupe, and Amy Solomon

Abstract. Mixed-phase clouds in the Arctic are tightly coupled to the surface energy budget in the cold months, helping to set surface temperatures and sea ice extent. However, the meteorological conditions that give rise to these clouds and their remarkable persistence across the Arctic are not well constrained, leading to model biases. Using over a decade of observations from the North Slope of Alaska, this research investigates the relationships between cloud base temperature and moisture, bulk atmospheric moisture, wind direction, large-scale circulation, and cloud liquid and ice water path. Liquid-containing clouds are ubiquitous at this site, occurring 60–70 % of the time between November and March, although about half of those cases have a liquid water path under 10 g m-2. We find that liquid water path is remarkably insensitive to temperature, moisture, wind direction, and large-scale circulation. Furthermore, meteorological regimes with significant differences in temperature, moisture, and cloud fraction do not produce appreciable differences in cloud liquid water path. Ice water path, on the other hand, is correlated with bulk atmospheric moisture, with particularly strong increases when precipitable water vapor exceeds the 90th percentile, and may be responsible for the muted response of liquid water path to high atmospheric moisture. To explain the observed sensitivity of ice water path and insensitivity of liquid water path to meteorology and large-scale circulation, we propose a series of hypotheses centered around continuous radiative cooling in a stable environment and the role of ice in enabling or limiting liquid mass accumulation.

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Kara Hartig, John J. Cassano, Matthew D. Shupe, and Amy Solomon

Status: open (until 19 Jun 2026)

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Kara Hartig, John J. Cassano, Matthew D. Shupe, and Amy Solomon
Kara Hartig, John J. Cassano, Matthew D. Shupe, and Amy Solomon
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Short summary
Liquid-containing Arctic clouds have a strong influence on surface temperature and sea ice extent in winter, but how weather conditions impact cloud cover remains a mystery. This study uses observations from northern Alaska to investigate this relationship. We find that, contrary to expectations, the amount of cloud liquid is remarkably insensitive to temperature, moisture, wind direction, and the large-scale atmospheric flow.
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