Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2418
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2418
12 May 2026
 | 12 May 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

Improved Dating of Landslides in Zimbabwe by Combining Satellite Multispectral and Synthetic Aperture Radar Observations

Joanna Noyes, Steven Palmer, Georgina Bennett, Seshagirirao Kolusu, and Caroline Bain

Abstract. Accurate dating of landslides is essential for understanding triggering mechanisms and improving hazard analysis, yet many inventories lack precise event timing. This study presents a two-step methodology for dating existing inventories using multi-sensor satellite data and automated change-point detection implemented with the Ruptures Python package. In Step 1, extended time series of Sentinel-2 optical NDVI and the Bare Soil Index are analysed to estimate the approximate dates of landslides. Step 2 refines these estimates using Sentinel-1 SAR VV backscatter data within a six-month window centred on the results from Step 1. The approach is tested using a landslide inventory from Zimbabwe associated with Storm Idai in March 2019. Using the results from Step 2, 52.8 % of the dataset is dated, with 84.6 % accuracy (events correctly dated during the triggering storm event) and an average precision of 12.8 days (the dates between which the event occurred). The results demonstrate that combining optical and SAR satellite observations with automated change-point detection provides an effective method for retroactively dating landslides. This approach enables inventories to be dated with minimal prior knowledge of event timing or geometry, while avoiding the need for large datasets and high-performance computing resources. The code is made available in Google Earth Engine, allowing for wide application.

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Joanna Noyes, Steven Palmer, Georgina Bennett, Seshagirirao Kolusu, and Caroline Bain

Status: open (until 23 Jun 2026)

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Joanna Noyes, Steven Palmer, Georgina Bennett, Seshagirirao Kolusu, and Caroline Bain
Joanna Noyes, Steven Palmer, Georgina Bennett, Seshagirirao Kolusu, and Caroline Bain
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Latest update: 13 May 2026
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Short summary
Landslides can cause serious damage, but many records do not include precise dating information needed to understand when they occur. We developed a method to estimate the timing of past landslides using satellite images. Testing it on over 1,300 landslides in Zimbabwe, we were able to date more than half, with most correctly dated during the storm event. This approach can improve landslide records and help scientists better understand and manage these hazards.
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