Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-219
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-219
16 Feb 2026
 | 16 Feb 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Biogeosciences (BG).

Spatiotemporal dynamics and drivers of bare soil albedo in European croplands

Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, and Daniel Goll

Abstract. Bare soil albedo plays a critical role in regulating surface energy balance and land-atmosphere interactions in agricultural systems, yet its spatiotemporal variability and controlling factors remain poorly quantified at the field scale across heterogeneous cropland landscapes. To address this, we investigate the spatial patterns and temporal dynamics of bare soil albedo in European croplands. We develop a method to reconstruct field-scale, spatiotemporally continuous bare soil albedo at a 5-day temporal resolution and 0.3 km spatial resolution using Sentinel-2 reflectance observations. Bare soil periods are identified by multiple spectral indices and the corresponding soil albedo values are derived for the period 2018–2020 using a novel machine learning framework. Two random forest models were employed to separately capture the long-term spatial structure and short-term temporal anomalies of bare soil albedo, allowing gaps caused by clouds, snow, and vegetation cover to be bridged. Model evaluation against independent site observations and existing products shows that the estimated bare soil albedo reproduces observed spatial gradients and seasonal variability across European croplands. Such variations in bare soil albedo are jointly controlled by soil properties, observation geometry and short-term soil moisture dynamics rather than by any single factor. Because these variations are of the same order of magnitude as radiation management solutions, soil radiative properties must be considered in their assessment. The resulting bare soil albedo offers a process-oriented basis for improving the representation of surface radiative properties and land-atmosphere coupling in agroecosystem and land surface models.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Biogeosciences.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, and Daniel Goll

Status: open (until 03 May 2026)

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Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, and Daniel Goll

Data sets

Bare soil albedo datasets at high spatio-temporal resolution from Sentinel-2 observations Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, Daniel S. Goll https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.30488027

Model code and software

code for producing European bare soil albedo Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, Daniel S. Goll https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.30488027

Ke Yu, Yang Su, Philippe Ciais, Ronny Lauerwald, David Makowski, Tianqi Shi, Shengbiao Wu, Petra Sieber, Chuanlong Zhou, and Daniel Goll

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Short summary
Bare soil reflectance affects surface energy exchange in agricultural systems, but its field-scale variability is still poorly known. Using satellite observations and machine learning, we examined spatiotemporal variations of bare soil reflectance across European croplands. We show that it varies with soil properties, soil moisture, and observation geometry. These results suggest that dynamic soil reflectance should be taken into account in surface energy balance studies of agroecosystems.
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