Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-209
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-209
23 Jan 2026
 | 23 Jan 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Ocean Science (OS).

Interaction of AMOC and Intrinsic Multi-decadal Southern Ocean Variability

Emma J. V. Smolders, René M. van Westen, and Henk A. Dijkstra

Abstract. A strongly-eddying version (0.1° horizontal resolution) of the Parallel Ocean Program (POP) shows pronounced intrinsic multi-decadal variability in the Southern Ocean, the so-called Southern Ocean Mode (SOM). This Southern Ocean multi-decadal variability is induced by eddy-mean flow interaction and deep convection. The SOM variability propagates through the global ocean and influences the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) by about 3 Sv. The opposite role on how the AMOC influences the SOM is unknown, as this requires long simulations and preferably with different AMOC background states. Here, using the results of a simulated AMOC collapse in the strongly-eddying ocean-only POP version, we find that the amplitude of the SOM is substantially reduced following an AMOC collapse. Associated changes in horizontal and vertical density variations lead to a weakening of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current transport and a shutdown of deep convection in the Weddell Sea. In contrast, these changes promote deep convection events and the emergence of multi-decadal variability in the Pacific sector of the Southern Ocean. A mechanical energy budget analysis shows both a reduction in the wind input and a disruption of the phase difference between wind work and the potential to kinetic energy conversion. The results highlight the strong connection between the AMOC and intrinsic multi-decadal variability in the Southern Ocean.

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Emma J. V. Smolders, René M. van Westen, and Henk A. Dijkstra

Status: open (until 20 Mar 2026)

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Emma J. V. Smolders, René M. van Westen, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Emma J. V. Smolders, René M. van Westen, and Henk A. Dijkstra
Latest update: 24 Jan 2026
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Short summary
The Southern Ocean shows strong natural variability on multi-decadal time scales, known as the Southern Ocean Mode (SOM). Using high-resolution ocean simulations, we show that a collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) strongly weakens the SOM. This weakening is linked to changes in ocean density, a slowdown of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, and shifts in deep convection across the Southern Ocean.
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