Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1982
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1982
12 May 2026
 | 12 May 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS).

Physically Anchored Multi-Resolution Neural Operator Framework for Flood Inundation Prediction

Abdolmehdi Behroozi, Kathryn Lawson, and Chaopeng Shen

Abstract. Accurate flood inundation modeling using high-resolution hydrodynamic simulations is computationally demanding, limiting their use for large-scale analysis and rapid scenario evaluation. Although machine learning surrogates have been developed, many struggle to reproduce the full spatiotemporal evolution of flood dynamics while maintaining physical consistency across spatial scales. In particular, simultaneously capturing basin-scale wave propagation and fine-scale inundation boundaries remains challenging. This study presents a multi-resolution deep learning framework for dynamic flood prediction. The approach combines a coarse-resolution neural operator that captures large-scale hydrodynamic behavior with a terrain-aware refinement module that reconstructs a fine-scale boundary structure. The framework is trained on high-fidelity two-dimensional shallow-water simulations and evaluated across riverine, dam-break, and complex floodplain systems, including tests under structured bathymetric uncertainty. Results demonstrate accurate reconstruction of continuous water depth fields, wet-dry delineation, and peak flow magnitude and timing. The model preserves the evolution of domain-integrated water volume over time, ensuring physically consistent mass dynamics rather than purely geometric agreement, and maintains probabilistic consistency when input topography is uncertain. The framework, therefore, provides high-resolution flood predictions at substantially reduced computational cost relative to direct high-resolution simulation. These findings show that multi-resolution deep learning can approximate hydrodynamic flood processes with strong physical fidelity and robustness to geometric uncertainty, supporting scalable flood hazard assessment and rapid predictive modeling.

Competing interests: C. Shen and K. Lawson have financial interests in HydroSapient, Inc., a company that could potentially benefit from the results of this research. These interests have been reviewed and managed by The Pennsylvania State University in accordance with its conflict of interest policies to ensure the objectivity and integrity of the research. A.M. Behroozi declares no conflicts of interest for this manuscript.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Abdolmehdi Behroozi, Kathryn Lawson, and Chaopeng Shen

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Abdolmehdi Behroozi, Kathryn Lawson, and Chaopeng Shen
Abdolmehdi Behroozi, Kathryn Lawson, and Chaopeng Shen

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Short summary
A hyper-efficient learnable model predicts flooding faster and more accurately than traditional methods. The two-part approach captures broad water movement then refines local flood details. Tested on rivers, dam breaks, and floodplains, it reproduced water depth, flooded areas, and flow timing. Water volume stays consistent and uncertain terrain data is handled well. The model delivers high-resolution predictions with far less computing effort, enabling faster, scalable flood risk assessment.
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