Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1923
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1923
22 Apr 2026
 | 22 Apr 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Implications of glacier detachment triggered by a surge event at Dehdal Glacier in the Pamir Mountains, using daily PlanetScope imagery

Mustafo Safarov, Junli Li, Evan Miles, Majid Gulayozov, Ruonan Li, Ali Fazylov, Kamoliddin Nazirzoda, Firdavs Vosidov, Murodkhudzha Murodov, Hofiz Navruzshoev, and Ardamehr Halimov

Abstract. Surge-type behavior and low-angle glacier detachments in small debris-covered mountain glaciers remain insufficiently documented. This study investigates the surge of the Dehdal Glacier in the northwestern Pamirs during 2025–2026, using daily PlanetScope satellite imagery. Multi-epoch uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) orthomosaics and digital elevation model (DEM) differencing from 2019 to 2023 reveal significant pre-surge internal mass redistribution, evidenced by surface thickening of the central tongue and surface lowering in both the upper glacier and the distal tongue, suggesting progressive internal destabilization. Demonstrated by PlanetScope imagery, the surge evolved through three distinct phases, which shows that surge initiation occurred internally and subsequently propagated down-glacier toward the terminus, resulting in detachments, accelerated ice flow, and reoccupation of the valley floor. Two low-angle detachments moved ice up to 4.7 km down-valley, depositing an estimated 4–5 × 106 m³ of ice on the valley floor. By January 12, 2026, the glacier had largely stabilized, with the primary glacier tongue covering approximately 1.83 km² and a detached ice mass of about 0.26 km² persisting farther downstream, resulting in a total ice area of roughly 2.09 km². Notably, the recurrence interval of 9–10 years since the previous surge is significantly shorter than the earlier 20–30-year intervals. This shortened interval is unlikely to be due to seismic activity or to complete reservoir regeneration, and it occurred during warmer, drier conditions than the 1981–2010 baseline, which increased by +1.11 °C. These findings provide new insights into glacier flow instabilities in High Mountain Asia and highlight the geomorphic impacts of small glacier dynamics under increasing climatic stress.

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Mustafo Safarov, Junli Li, Evan Miles, Majid Gulayozov, Ruonan Li, Ali Fazylov, Kamoliddin Nazirzoda, Firdavs Vosidov, Murodkhudzha Murodov, Hofiz Navruzshoev, and Ardamehr Halimov

Status: open (until 03 Jun 2026)

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Mustafo Safarov, Junli Li, Evan Miles, Majid Gulayozov, Ruonan Li, Ali Fazylov, Kamoliddin Nazirzoda, Firdavs Vosidov, Murodkhudzha Murodov, Hofiz Navruzshoev, and Ardamehr Halimov

Data sets

Derived datasets for the 2025–2026 surge of Dehdal Glacier (Pamir Mountains, Tajikistan) Mustafo Safarov https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19052838

Mustafo Safarov, Junli Li, Evan Miles, Majid Gulayozov, Ruonan Li, Ali Fazylov, Kamoliddin Nazirzoda, Firdavs Vosidov, Murodkhudzha Murodov, Hofiz Navruzshoev, and Ardamehr Halimov
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Latest update: 22 Apr 2026
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Short summary
This study investigates a rapidly surging glacier in the Pamir Mountains using daily satellite imagery and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) data. It reveals that surge-driven ice detachment can rapidly displace ice downstream and transform valley morphology. The findings show that even small glaciers can cause large, rapid environmental impacts and highlight the need for high-frequency observations to understand glacier instability and improve hazard assessment in a warming climate.
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