Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1638
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1638
11 May 2026
 | 11 May 2026

The North American CORDEX-CMIP6 WRF evaluation run: comparing historical simulations from 25 km to convection-permitting scales

Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I. Chang, and Seth McGinnis

Abstract. Earth system models (ESMs) provide essential insight into large-scale climate variability and change but often lack the spatial resolution required to represent fine-scale processes critical for regional impacts and adaptation planning. To help address this gap, we present an updated high-resolution regional climate simulation for North America (NA) as part of the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX). We evaluate a new reanalysis forced NA-CORDEX simulation at 12 km resolution against observational datasets, an earlier NA-CORDEX CMIP5 simulation (25 km), and the convection-permitting CONUS-404 simulation (4 km). Through these comparisons, we assess how horizontal resolution and regional model configuration influence historical biases and extremes, with a particular focus on precipitation processes given that convection is parameterized at 12 km. Relative to previous NA-CORDEX-CMIP5 simulations, the new CMIP6-based evaluation run reduces mean biases in temperature and precipitation, improves the magnitude and timing of the diurnal precipitation cycle across North America, and substantially improves the representation of tropical cyclone structure and intensity. Notably, extreme precipitation rates are well captured at 12 km when compared to the convection-permitting simulations. While long-term convection-permitting climate simulations remain a key objective for regional modeling, the current generation of CORDEX simulations provides a practical balance between computational efficiency and physical realism for continental-scale climate assessment.

Competing interests: At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of Geoscientific Model Development. The peer-review process was guided by an independent editor, and the authors also have no other competing interests to declare.

Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. While Copernicus Publications makes every effort to include appropriate place names, the final responsibility lies with the authors. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.
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Journal article(s) based on this preprint

23 Sep 2026
| Highlight paper
The North American CORDEX-CMIP6 WRF evaluation run: comparing historical simulations from 25 km to convection-permitting scales
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I Chang, and Seth McGinnis
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 8995–9017, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8995-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8995-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I. Chang, and Seth McGinnis

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • CC2: 'Reply on CC1', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 06 Jul 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • AC6: 'Reply on RC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Jul 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 06 Jul 2026
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Anonymous Referee #3, 10 Jul 2026
    • AC5: 'Reply on RC3', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (20 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (21 Aug 2026) by Lluís Fita
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (24 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (25 Aug 2026) by Lluís Fita
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (02 Sep 2026)  Manuscript 

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • CC2: 'Reply on CC1', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • AC1: 'Reply on CC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 06 Jul 2026
    • AC3: 'Reply on CC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Silvina Solman, 19 Jun 2026
    • AC6: 'Reply on RC1', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Anonymous Referee #2, 02 Jul 2026
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 06 Jul 2026
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2026-1638', Anonymous Referee #3, 10 Jul 2026
    • AC5: 'Reply on RC3', Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, 20 Aug 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (20 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (21 Aug 2026) by Lluís Fita
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (24 Aug 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (25 Aug 2026) by Lluís Fita
AR by Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen on behalf of the Authors (02 Sep 2026)  Manuscript 

Journal article(s) based on this preprint

23 Sep 2026
| Highlight paper
The North American CORDEX-CMIP6 WRF evaluation run: comparing historical simulations from 25 km to convection-permitting scales
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I Chang, and Seth McGinnis
Geosci. Model Dev., 19, 8995–9017, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8995-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-8995-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I. Chang, and Seth McGinnis
Jacob Stuivenvolt-Allen, Trude Eidhammer, Rachel McCrary, Melissa Bukovsky, Stefan Rahimi, Hsin-I. Chang, and Seth McGinnis

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The requested preprint has a corresponding peer-reviewed final revised paper. You are encouraged to refer to the final revised version.

Short summary
Global climate models offer crucial insight into climate change but lack resolution to capture regional processes. We present a new 12 km regional climate simulation for North America under CORDEX. Compared to an earlier regional simulation, our run shows reduced temperature and precipitation biases, improved rainfall timing, and better tropical cyclone representation. This approach balances accuracy and efficiency for regional climate assessment.
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