Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1446
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1446
30 Mar 2026
 | 30 Mar 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).

The role of the secondary circulation in the tropical transition of Hurricane Ophelia

Carlos Calvo-Sancho, Richard Rotunno, Ana Montoro-Mendoza, Mauricio López-Reyes, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Pedro Bolgiani, and María Luisa Martín

Abstract. This study investigates the mesoscale dynamic and thermodynamic mechanisms governing the tropical transition (TT) of Hurricane Ophelia (2017). A fundamental aspect of this transition is the co-evolution of the primary and secondary circulations; specifically, the development of the secondary overturning circulation is what drives the structural evolution of the vortex. As the first high-resolution analysis of secondary circulation in a real TT, it broadens the scope of existing diagnostic frameworks, proving that methods originally developed for idealized tropical cyclones are also effective for quantifying the dynamics of transitioning systems. Using high-resolution numerical simulations, advanced energy-budget diagnostics and wind-tendency equations have been computed to assess the evolution of the secondary circulation. Results show that following an initial phase driven by an upper-level potential vorticity intrusion and baroclinic forcing, organized deep convection facilitates vorticity redistribution and core warming. During the transition phase, momentum and thermal forcings contribute nearly equally to the intensification of the secondary circulation. However, once the transition is complete, thermal forcing becomes the dominant mechanism. The equivalent potential temperature budget analysis reveals a fundamental shift in system energetics: while vertical diffusion, associated with surface fluxes and air-sea instability, dominates energy input during the transition, organized vertical advection within the eyewall sustains the system in its mature stage. The study also identifies a period of structural relaxation midway through the process, highlighting the non-linear nature of the tropical transition before achieving self-sustaining convective coupling. By clarifying currently debated TT behavior, this work establishes key signatures that facilitate the non-trivial characterization of these systems.

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Carlos Calvo-Sancho, Richard Rotunno, Ana Montoro-Mendoza, Mauricio López-Reyes, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Pedro Bolgiani, and María Luisa Martín

Status: open (until 11 May 2026)

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Carlos Calvo-Sancho, Richard Rotunno, Ana Montoro-Mendoza, Mauricio López-Reyes, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Pedro Bolgiani, and María Luisa Martín
Carlos Calvo-Sancho, Richard Rotunno, Ana Montoro-Mendoza, Mauricio López-Reyes, Juan Jesús González-Alemán, Pedro Bolgiani, and María Luisa Martín

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Short summary
This study analyses the secondary circulation of Hurricane Ophelia as it transformed from a non-tropical storm into a hurricane in 2017. Using high-resolution simulations, we find that centrifugal and thermal processes contributed equally during the transition process, but thermal processes dominated after. Ocean heat and thunderstorms sustained intensification. A temporary pause is identified midway through, showing that this transition is not continuous but involves internal reorganization.
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