Preprints
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5FF32
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5FF32
08 Apr 2026
 | 08 Apr 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

snowman: an open-source R package for automated 30-m snow and ice cover mapping using the Landsat archive

Pekka Niittynen

Abstract. Seasonal snow and ice cover are critical components of the cryosphere yet mapping their dynamics at ecologically relevant spatiotemporal scales remains challenging. Here I present snowman, an open-source R package and algorithm for automated mapping of snow and ice cover dynamics at 30-m resolution using Landsat satellite imagery (1982–present). The algorithm combines globally trained probabilistic Random Forest classifiers with pixel-wise generalised additive models to estimate snow phenology metrics—including snow cover duration, snowmelt timing, and new-snow onset—across any location on Earth, without requiring specialist expertise in remote sensing. Trained on 691,925 manually labelled points from 529 Landsat scenes across 49 globally distributed sites, the classifier achieved an overall accuracy of 96.3 % on an independent 15,000-point test dataset, compared to 80.0 % for traditional normalised difference snow index-based (NDSI) approaches. Critically, snowman retained up to 2.2 times more usable observations than NDSI methods across a cloud-prone mountain landscape, enabling more detailed estimation of the snow dynamics. At two Finnish weather stations, snowman estimated snow cover duration, snowmelt timing, and new-snow onset to within 3–11 days of multi-year station records. Snow phenology maps showed strong spatial correspondence with independent fine-scale satellite-borne snow classifications (Pearson r = 0.79–0.83) and a high-resolution microclimate dataset (r = 0.82). The snowman algorithm is fully automated and scalable from personal computers to high-performance computing environments and offers a reproducible tool for snow and ice monitoring in climate science, hydrology, and ecological research.

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Pekka Niittynen

Status: open (until 20 May 2026)

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Pekka Niittynen
Pekka Niittynen
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Latest update: 09 Apr 2026
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Short summary
Snow cover is vanishing fast globally. I developed snowman, a free software tool that uses 40 years of satellite imagery to map snow and ice at fine spatial scales anywhere on Earth. By combining machine learning with statistical modelling, it detects snow more accurately than existing methods. This makes long-term, detailed snow monitoring accessible to any researcher, helping scientists better understand how shrinking snowpack affects water, wildlife, and communities worldwide.
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