Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1175
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1175
18 Mar 2026
 | 18 Mar 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (NHESS).

RHITA: a web tool for real-time detection of extreme weather events

Greta Cazzaniga, Anastasia Akakpo-Numado, Patrick Brockmann, Adrien Burq, Mathieu Vrac, and Davide Faranda

Abstract. Extreme weather hazards are increasing and stakeholders need rapid, transparent information during unfolding events. We present RHITA (Real-time Hazard Identification and Tracking Algorithm), an open-source framework and web tool for near real-time detection and tracking of weather-related hazards over Europe. RHITA identifies grid cells exceeding local quantile thresholds, groups them into spatial clusters, and links clusters through time to reconstruct three-dimensional events in longitude, latitude, and time. For each event, RHITA provides intensity, extent and duration metrics and estimates rarity through return periods derived from a long historical record. RHITA is operated with ECMWF open forecasts for daily monitoring and ERA5 reanalysis for a consistent historical archive from 1950 to 2024. We target four hazards: heatwaves, cold spells, heavy precipitation and strong winds. Key spatial and temporal parameters are optimized against EM-DAT disaster records (2000 to 2023). Applying RHITA to ERA5 yields a European climatology of hazard events and reveals robust increases in heatwave frequency, intensity and affected area, a decline in cold spell frequency, and more heterogeneous signals for heavy precipitation and strong winds at the continental scale. RHITA provides open access data and an interactive interface to support rapid hazard characterization, event contextualization and downstream risk analysis.

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Greta Cazzaniga, Anastasia Akakpo-Numado, Patrick Brockmann, Adrien Burq, Mathieu Vrac, and Davide Faranda

Status: open (until 29 Apr 2026)

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Greta Cazzaniga, Anastasia Akakpo-Numado, Patrick Brockmann, Adrien Burq, Mathieu Vrac, and Davide Faranda
Greta Cazzaniga, Anastasia Akakpo-Numado, Patrick Brockmann, Adrien Burq, Mathieu Vrac, and Davide Faranda
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Latest update: 18 Mar 2026
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Short summary
Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and severe, creating a strong need for rapid and reliable information. We developed an open tool that automatically detects and tracks heatwaves, cold spells, heavy rain, and strong winds across Europe, both in real time and in past decades. By comparing current events with long historical records, the tool shows how unusual an event is and reveals clear increases in heatwaves, while other hazards show more mixed changes.
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