Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1165
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1165
06 May 2026
 | 06 May 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Geoscientific Model Development (GMD).

Experiment design, nudging protocol, and models participating in Phase 2 of the APARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi)

James A. Anstey, Neal Butchart, Scott Osprey, Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Jadwiga H. Richter, Tim Stockdale, Martin B. Andrews, Zhaoyang Chai, Paolo Davini, Dong-Chan Hong, Kai Huang, Aleena M. Jaison, Tobias Kerzenmacher, Jeff R. Knight, Pu Lin, Francois Lott, Yixiong Lu, Hiroaki Naoe, Federico Serva, Isla Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Qi Tang, Shingo Watanabe, Jinbo Xie, and Kohei Yoshida

Abstract. We describe the protocol for coordinated experiments in phase-2 of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi) and the participating models. The experiments involve nudging tropical stratospheric zonal-mean zonal winds in the models toward observations, enabling analysis of the impact of QBO biases on simulated teleconnections. Additionally, nudging the tropical winds allows investigation of the origins of QBO biases by examining the behaviour of resolved and parameterized equatorial waves under realistic equatorial wind shear conditions. We document here the scientific rationale and design of the nudging experiments, summarize the QBOi data request, and provide an overview of participating models. An initial evaluation is given of tropical stratospheric winds simulated by the multi-model ensemble for both nudged and free-running cases, and the overall impact of nudging on climatological aspects of the atmospheric circulation is examined.

Competing interests: JA serves as co-editor for the special issue to which this paper belongs.

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James A. Anstey, Neal Butchart, Scott Osprey, Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Jadwiga H. Richter, Tim Stockdale, Martin B. Andrews, Zhaoyang Chai, Paolo Davini, Dong-Chan Hong, Kai Huang, Aleena M. Jaison, Tobias Kerzenmacher, Jeff R. Knight, Pu Lin, Francois Lott, Yixiong Lu, Hiroaki Naoe, Federico Serva, Isla Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Qi Tang, Shingo Watanabe, Jinbo Xie, and Kohei Yoshida

Status: open (until 01 Jul 2026)

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James A. Anstey, Neal Butchart, Scott Osprey, Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Jadwiga H. Richter, Tim Stockdale, Martin B. Andrews, Zhaoyang Chai, Paolo Davini, Dong-Chan Hong, Kai Huang, Aleena M. Jaison, Tobias Kerzenmacher, Jeff R. Knight, Pu Lin, Francois Lott, Yixiong Lu, Hiroaki Naoe, Federico Serva, Isla Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Qi Tang, Shingo Watanabe, Jinbo Xie, and Kohei Yoshida
James A. Anstey, Neal Butchart, Scott Osprey, Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Jadwiga H. Richter, Tim Stockdale, Martin B. Andrews, Zhaoyang Chai, Paolo Davini, Dong-Chan Hong, Kai Huang, Aleena M. Jaison, Tobias Kerzenmacher, Jeff R. Knight, Pu Lin, Francois Lott, Yixiong Lu, Hiroaki Naoe, Federico Serva, Isla Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Qi Tang, Shingo Watanabe, Jinbo Xie, and Kohei Yoshida
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Short summary
We describe experiments where modelled tropical stratosphere winds are adjusted by "nudging" them toward realistic time-evolving eastward and westward Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) winds. The effects of this bias correction on other atmospheric processes, such as the stratospheric polar vortex or tropical waves that force the QBO, can then be assessed. We describe details of the experiments, the multi-model ensemble that has performed them, and basic validation of the nudging response.
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