Preprints
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1100
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1100
24 Mar 2026
 | 24 Mar 2026
Status: this preprint is open for discussion and under review for Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP).

Improving aerosol-radiation interaction feedback in AIRWISE operational system

Sumit Kumar, Gaurav Govardhan, Sreyashi Debnath, Avinash N. Parde, Sandeep Wagh, Jimy Dudhia, and Sachin D. Ghude

Abstract. Accurate representation of aerosol optical properties remains a key uncertainty in aerosol–radiation interactions in numerical weather prediction models, especially over highly polluted megacities. Operational systems use globally prescribed complex refractive indices (RIs) that inadequately represent regional aerosol composition, inducing biases in surface shortwave radiation (SWDOWN) and boundary layer evolution. In this study, region-specific RIs of aerosols over Delhi are implemented within the Air Quality Warning and Integrated Decision Support System for Emissions (AIRWISE) to quantify their radiative and meteorological impacts during the October 2023–January 2024 season. Sensitivity experiments with RIs of different chemical species indicate reduction in SWDOWN by up to ~80 W m-2 (diurnally ~43 W m-2) during a severe post-monsoon episode. This radiative perturbation decreases surface temperature (~0.2 °C), near-surface wind speed (~0.4 m s-1), and boundary layer height (~200 m), while increasing daytime humidity (3–4 %). Comparable sensitivity is observed during an extreme winter episode under stagnant, humid conditions favorable for haze persistence. Seasonally, monthly mean SWDOWN decreases by 25–37 W m-2 relative to the control simulation, accounting for ~¼ to ⅓ of total aerosol-induced reduction. Evaluation against surface radiation measurements from Winter Fog Experiment (WiFEX 2023–24) at Indira Gandhi International Airport, Delhi shows substantial bias reduction in December 2023 (62 %) and January 2024 (35 %). The revised radiative forcing systematically modifies near-surface thermodynamics and increases PM2.5 concentrations, thereby altering pollution–meteorology feedback in highly polluted urban environments.

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Sumit Kumar, Gaurav Govardhan, Sreyashi Debnath, Avinash N. Parde, Sandeep Wagh, Jimy Dudhia, and Sachin D. Ghude

Status: open (until 05 May 2026)

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Sumit Kumar, Gaurav Govardhan, Sreyashi Debnath, Avinash N. Parde, Sandeep Wagh, Jimy Dudhia, and Sachin D. Ghude
Sumit Kumar, Gaurav Govardhan, Sreyashi Debnath, Avinash N. Parde, Sandeep Wagh, Jimy Dudhia, and Sachin D. Ghude
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Latest update: 24 Mar 2026
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Short summary
Air pollution poses a major challenge in densely populated megacities, where forecasting severe events is difficult because weather models often poorly represent aerosol interactions with solar radiation. We improved a forecast system by modifying aerosol properties to better reflect real conditions. This reduced radiation errors and improved predictions of temperature, humidity, and pollution levels, resulting in more reliable air quality forecasts.
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